中国社会保险：地区差异和经济增长

发布时间：2018-03-19 11:33

本文选题：社会保险　切入点：养老保险　出处：《复旦大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：社会保险问题关系民生福祉,已成为社会关注的重要问题。本文研究了中国社会保险和养老保险的省级差异根源以及对经济增长的影响。本文整理了2000-2009年中国全部31个省级社会保险收入支出的详细数据,对中国现阶段社会保险的地区差异进行全面的统计描述。实证研究发现,西部地区社会保险和养老保险收入和支出占GDP比重明显高于中部和东部地区。地区经济发展水平,老年抚养比,国有经济比重,以及财政对社会保险的补贴指标对社会保险收入和支出均有显著的正向影响,对外贸易的影响显著为负；社会保险基金规模对经济增长无短期影响。养老保险收入和支出均受到对外贸易的显著负影响和财政补贴、城市化水平、人力资本存量的显著正影响,老年抚养比也存在正影响。养老保险的工资替代率主要受经济发展水平的影响,与人均GDP水平和FDI显著负相关,经济越发达,养老金替代率越低。另外,还与老年人口抚养比负相关,即当缴费率一定时,负担系数越高,养老金的替代率越低；中西部地区养老金负担较重。这说明,经济发展水平、国有经济比重、对外开放政策和人口老龄化趋势是影响地区社会保险差异的重要因素。
[Abstract]:Social insurance matters to the well-being of the people, This paper studies the root causes of provincial differences between social insurance and old-age insurance in China and its impact on economic growth. This paper collates the detailed data of all 31 provincial social insurance income expenditures in China from 2000 to 2009. This paper makes a comprehensive statistical description of the regional differences in social insurance in China at present. The empirical study shows that the income and expenditure of social insurance and old-age insurance in the western region account for a higher proportion of GDP than in the central and eastern regions, and the level of regional economic development is obviously higher than that in the central and eastern regions. The old-age dependency ratio, the proportion of state-owned economy, and the subsidy index of finance to social insurance have significant positive effects on social insurance income and expenditure, while the influence of foreign trade is significantly negative. The scale of social insurance fund has no short-term impact on economic growth. The income and expenditure of pension insurance are significantly negatively affected by foreign trade and financial subsidies, and the level of urbanization and the stock of human capital have a significant positive impact. There is also a positive impact on old-age dependency ratio. The wage replacement rate of old-age insurance is mainly affected by the level of economic development, and negatively correlated with the per capita GDP level and FDI. The more developed the economy, the lower the pension replacement rate. There is also a negative correlation with the dependency ratio of the elderly population, that is, when the contribution rate is fixed, the higher the burden coefficient, the lower the replacement rate of the pension; the heavier the pension burden is in the central and western regions. This shows that the level of economic development, the proportion of the state-owned economy, The policy of opening to the outside world and the trend of population aging are the important factors influencing the regional social insurance difference.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F842.6

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