我国基本养老金增长的空间格局与空间效应
发布时间:2018-08-03 21:15
【摘要】:对我国基本养老金的空间分布格局进行概括和探索性空间分析;利用空间杜宾模型,分别在三种空间权重下对影响因素的作用方向和大小进行空间效应分解。研究发现,基本养老金的高值区域主要集中在西北部地区和东部沿海地区,东北与中南部地区的水平长期偏低,这在一定程度上反映了区域间养老保障水平的现实差距,且存在长期固化趋势。基本养老金增长的空间溢出作用客观存在,且主要受经济因素的影响较为显著,人口因素的作用则十分有限。我国基本养老保险的统筹层次偏低,难以进行跨区域横向调剂,导致地区差距明显,且严重阻碍了实现与劳动力自由流动相匹配的基本养老保险支付。因此,从全局和长远利益出发,化地区分割为全国统筹是我国深化养老保障制度改革的必由之路。
[Abstract]:The spatial distribution pattern of the basic pension in China is summarized and the spatial effect of the influencing factors is decomposed under three spatial weights using the spatial Doberbin model. It is found that the high value region of basic pension is mainly concentrated in the northwest region and the eastern coastal area, and the level of the northeast and the central and southern regions is on the low side for a long time, which to some extent reflects the realistic gap in the level of the old-age security between the regions. And there is a long-term curing trend. The spatial spillover effect of basic pension growth exists objectively and is mainly affected by economic factors, but the effect of population factors is very limited. The overall planning level of basic old-age insurance in our country is on the low side and it is difficult to carry out cross-regional horizontal adjustment which leads to obvious regional disparity and seriously hinders the realization of basic old-age insurance payment matching with the free flow of labor force. Therefore, it is the only way to deepen the reform of the old-age security system to divide the area into the whole country in view of the overall and long-term interests.
【作者单位】: 广西大学商学院;
【基金】:广西研究生教育创新计划项目(YCBZ2015018) 广西高校科研项目(LX2014606)
【分类号】:F842.67
[Abstract]:The spatial distribution pattern of the basic pension in China is summarized and the spatial effect of the influencing factors is decomposed under three spatial weights using the spatial Doberbin model. It is found that the high value region of basic pension is mainly concentrated in the northwest region and the eastern coastal area, and the level of the northeast and the central and southern regions is on the low side for a long time, which to some extent reflects the realistic gap in the level of the old-age security between the regions. And there is a long-term curing trend. The spatial spillover effect of basic pension growth exists objectively and is mainly affected by economic factors, but the effect of population factors is very limited. The overall planning level of basic old-age insurance in our country is on the low side and it is difficult to carry out cross-regional horizontal adjustment which leads to obvious regional disparity and seriously hinders the realization of basic old-age insurance payment matching with the free flow of labor force. Therefore, it is the only way to deepen the reform of the old-age security system to divide the area into the whole country in view of the overall and long-term interests.
【作者单位】: 广西大学商学院;
【基金】:广西研究生教育创新计划项目(YCBZ2015018) 广西高校科研项目(LX2014606)
【分类号】:F842.67
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