基于VEC模型的FDI对山东省现代服务业影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-23 18:23

本文选题：山东省 + 向量误差修正（VEC）模型　；参考：《青岛理工大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球外商直接投资的盛行，流向服务贸易的外资也日益增长，服务业逐渐成为外商直接投资的重点。外商直接投资在促进山东省经济发展的同时，也加快了山东省现代服务业的发展，但是服务业却远远落后于全国平均水平和国内某些省份。此外，，山东省现代服务业所占比重有所上升。因此，如何利用外商直接投资促进山东省现代服务业发展具有重要的现实意义。本文以全球日益加快的资本国际化进程、我国日益开放的服务业为背景，借鉴前人的FDI与服务业关系的研究成果，将论题所涉及的FDI和现代服务业等学科知识进行理论综合，重点运用数量经济学模型开展实证研究并给出相应的对策。第2章阐述FDI与现代服务业相关理论；第3章对山东省利用FDI现状、现代服务业发展现状及现代服务业利用FDI现状进行初步分析；第4章对向量自回归模型、向量误差修正模型的相关理论进行介绍；第5章对FDI对山东省现代服务业的影响进行实证分析，主要采用协整分析、方差分析、VEC模型；第6章根据实证分析结果提出相应的对策，以期山东省现代服务业愈有效利用FDI。
[Abstract]:With the prevalence of foreign direct investment in the world, the foreign investment flow to service trade is growing, and the service industry has gradually become the focus of foreign direct investment. Foreign direct investment has accelerated the development of Shandong province's modern service industry while promoting the economic development of Shandong Province, but the service industry is far behind the national average level and the domestic one. In addition, the proportion of modern service industry in Shandong has increased. Therefore, how to use foreign direct investment to promote the development of modern service industry in Shandong province is of great practical significance.
Based on the increasingly accelerated global process of capital internationalization and the increasingly open service industry in China, this paper draws on the previous research results of FDI and service industry, and integrates the theoretical knowledge of FDI and modern service industry involved in the topic, and focuses on the quantitative economics model to carry out empirical research and give corresponding countermeasures. The 2 chapter expounds the related theories of FDI and modern service industry; the third chapter makes a preliminary analysis of the current situation of using FDI in Shandong Province, the present situation of modern service industry development and the use of FDI in modern service industry; the fourth chapter introduces the related theories of vector autoregressive model and vector error correction model, and the fifth chapter is about the influence of FDI on modern service industry in the province. The main use of the empirical analysis is cointegration analysis, variance analysis, VEC model. The sixth chapter puts forward the corresponding countermeasures according to the results of the empirical analysis, so that the more effective use of FDI. in modern service industry in Shandong Province

【学位授予单位】：青岛理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F224;F832.6;F719

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