江苏省生产性服务业溢出效应的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-02 08:59

本文选题：生产性服务业 + 溢出效应　；参考：《南京财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来，生产性服务业对经济增长的贡献越来越大，在产业竞争力提升和产业结构优化升级方面发挥着不可替代的作用，逐步发展成为现代服务业中的一个重要组成部分。基于当前我国处于经济转型阶段的客观现实，大力发展生产性服务业，最大化地发挥生产性服务业在经济增长中的溢出效应，已经成为我国现阶段亟需解决的问题之一。因此，众多学者将研究焦点集中在量化分析生产性服务业在经济增长中的贡献，探索促进生产性服务业快速发展的政策。目前，对生产性服务业促进经济增长的研究主要关注于其自身发展对经济增长的直接贡献，而忽视了生产性服务业与其它产业的互动关联，低估了生产性服务业在经济增长中的溢出效应。基于目前的研究现状，本文以江苏省为研究对象，，试图从理论和实证两方面分析生产性服务业的溢出效应，为全面评估生产性服务业在促进经济增长、提升产业竞争力方面的重要性提供依据。本文首先阐述了生产性服务业溢出效应的理论基础。基于产业关联理论、内生增长理论和生产迂回学说三种不同的理论基础，从促进产业结构优化升级、提高生产效率、增强就业吸纳能力三个角度阐述生产性服务业溢出效应的作用途径。同时借鉴菲德模型，将整体经济分为生产性服务业与非生产性服务业两大部门，构建生产性服务业的溢出效应模型。其次，在利用投入产出数据通过计算中间需求率这一指标对江苏省生产性服务业范围进行界定的基础上，运用生产性服务业的溢出效应模型对江苏省各市2000-2009年的统计数据进行面板数据分析，从而定量测度江苏省生产性服务业的溢出效应。由于不同地区生产性服务业的溢出值有差异，从六个方面分析影响生产性服务业溢出效应的因素，并将影响因素指标化，运用回归方法对影响生产性服务业溢出效应的因素进行实证分析，进而定量测度各因素对溢出效应的影响程度。最后，在归纳本文结论的基础上，结合江苏省的实际情况，提出有针对性的政策建议，以期最大限度地发挥生产性服务业在促进经济增长和产业结构优化升级方面的溢出效应，促进江苏省经济的发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, producer services have contributed more and more to economic growth, which plays an irreplaceable role in the promotion of industrial competitiveness and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, and has gradually developed into an important part of modern service industry. Based on the objective reality that our country is in the stage of economic transformation, vigorously developing producer services and maximizing the spillover effect of producer services in economic growth has become one of the problems that our country urgently needs to solve at the present stage. Therefore, many scholars will focus on quantitative analysis of the contribution of producer services to economic growth, and explore policies to promote the rapid development of producer services. At present, the research on producer services promoting economic growth mainly focuses on the direct contribution of their own development to economic growth, while neglecting the interaction between producer services and other industries. The spillover effect of producer services in economic growth is underestimated. Based on the current research situation, this paper tries to analyze the spillover effects of producer services in Jiangsu Province from both theoretical and empirical aspects, in order to comprehensively evaluate the impact of producer services on promoting economic growth. To improve the importance of industrial competitiveness to provide the basis. Firstly, this paper expounds the theoretical basis of spillover effect of producer services. Based on the industrial relevance theory, endogenous growth theory and production roundabout theory, there are three different theoretical bases, which are to promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and to improve production efficiency. This paper expounds the ways of spillover effect of producer service industry from three angles of enhancing employment absorption ability. At the same time, the whole economy is divided into two sectors, producer services and non-producer services, and the spillover effect model of producer services is constructed. Secondly, on the basis of using input-output data to define the scope of producer services in Jiangsu Province by calculating the intermediate demand rate, Based on the spillover effect model of producer services in Jiangsu Province, the panel data from 2000 to 2009 are analyzed to measure the spillover effect of producer services in Jiangsu Province. Because of the difference of spillover value of producer services in different regions, the factors influencing spillover effect of producer services are analyzed from six aspects, and the influencing factors are indexed. The factors affecting spillover effects of producer services are analyzed by using regression method, and the degree of spillover effects is quantitatively measured. Finally, on the basis of summing up the conclusions of this paper, combined with the actual situation of Jiangsu Province, this paper puts forward some targeted policy recommendations, in order to maximize the spillover effect of producer services in promoting economic growth and industrial structure optimization and upgrading. Promote the economic development of Jiangsu Province.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F719;F224

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