中国服务业发展悖论——基于“两波”发展模式的研究

发布时间：2018-06-30 03:08

本文选题：经济服务化 + 中国服务业发展悖论　；参考：《经济学家》2012年07期

【摘要】：本文借鉴最新文献对服务业发展规律的测度方法,用中国1952—2010年的地区面板数据对我国服务业比重变化的长期规律和阶段性特征进行了测度,结果认为:宏观国家层面上,我国服务业比重的变化确实有悖于世界经济整体服务化的趋势;但在地区层面上,我国服务业比重与人均GDP的关系基本符合"服务业比重随经济发展不断上升"的普遍规律,所谓经济服务化的"中国悖论"在地区层面上并不存在;对服务业发展的阶段性特征和地区差异进行分析发现,我国大部分地区仍然处于以传统服务业为主的第一波发展阶段,只有少数地区进入了以现代服务业发展为主导的第二波。文章最后对我国服务业发展规律的成因进行了一般分析和实证检验。
[Abstract]:This paper uses the latest literature to measure the law of the development of service industry, and measures the long-term and phased characteristics of the change in the proportion of service industry in China from 1952 to 2010. The result is that the change of the proportion of the service industry in China is indeed contrary to the whole service of the world economy. But at the regional level, the relationship between the proportion of the service industry and the per capita GDP in China is basically consistent with the universal law of "the proportion of service industry with the increase of economic development". The so-called "Chinese paradox" of economic service is not present at the regional level; the analysis of the stage characteristics and regional differences of the development of service industry has found most of our country. The region is still in the first stage of development based on the traditional service industry, and only a few regions have entered the second wave which is dominated by the development of modern service industry. Finally, the article has carried on the general analysis and empirical test on the cause of the development of the service industry in China.
【作者单位】：浙江大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“深入贯彻落实科学发展观加快经济发展方式转变”(编号:10ZD&003) 浙江省自然科学基金“R&D国际化背景下浙江省战略性新兴产业的创新能力培育研究”(编号:Y6110226)的资助
【分类号】：F719

【相似文献】