韩中服务业产业内贸易影响因素研究
发布时间:2018-07-08 12:16
本文选题:服务贸易 + 产业内贸易 ; 参考:《湖南大学》2012年硕士论文
【摘要】:随着经济全球化进程的加快,国际贸易结构正逐步向服务贸易倾斜,国际服务贸易正以不可阻挡的趋势向前发展,其速度已经超过了货物贸易。韩国是新兴的工业化国家,中国是世界上最大的发展中国家,两国间贸易联系紧密,尤其是90年代以来,随着两国经济发展水平的提高和直接投资的增长,产业内贸易已经成为两国贸易的重要组成部分。研究韩中服务业的产业内贸易状况及其影响因素,对促进发展韩中经贸关系、提升韩中两国经济结构和资源利用效率、尤其是对维持两国经济贸易的可持续增长具有重要的现实意义。 本文以国际贸易理论及产业内贸易理论为基础,以理论分析和实证分析相结合的方法对韩中服务业产业内贸易进行定量和定性分析,探讨韩中服务业产业内贸易的影响因素。首先,将关于产业内贸易的文献资料进行归纳总结,其次,通过G-L指数和MIIT指数分别从静态和动态测算近年来韩中服务业产业内贸易指数,并得出结论:韩国和中国服务业产业内贸易发水平处于中等状态且在小幅度不断波动之中。其中,运输、旅游和通讯服务产业内贸易发展水平较高,保险服务行业和政府服务业的产业内贸易水平波动变化较大,其他行业的产业内贸易水平较低。然后,分析了韩中服务业产业内贸易的影响因素,为下文的实证研究打下基础;再次,建立模型计量分析,得出实证结果,,从实证角度证明影响韩中服务业产业内贸易的主要因素。 实证结果表明:人均收入水平差异和对外经济开放程度是影响中国与韩国之间的服务业产业内贸易最显著的因素。人均收入水平差异对服务业产业内贸易有负的影响,对外经济开放程度对产业内贸易水平有正向的影响。但是,由于模型存在一定的缺陷,所以造成了包括外商直接投资、规模经济水平、贸易不平衡水平等在内的解释变量的系数不显著。但是,这并不能说明这些变量对于韩中服务业产业内贸易是没有影响的,任然需要引起足够的重视。 最后,综合实证研究的结果,提出相关的政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of economic globalization, the international trade structure is gradually tilting towards the service trade, and the international trade in services is developing with an irresistible trend, whose speed has exceeded that of the trade in goods. South Korea is a newly industrialized country, and China is the largest developing country in the world. Trade ties between the two countries are close, especially since the 1990s, with the improvement of the level of economic development and the growth of direct investment between the two countries. Intra-industry trade has become an important part of trade between the two countries. To study the intra-industry trade situation and its influencing factors of service industry in Korea and China, to promote the development of economic and trade relations between Korea and China, and to promote the economic structure and resource utilization efficiency of South Korea and China. In particular, it is of great practical significance to maintain the sustainable growth of economic and trade between the two countries. Based on the theory of international trade and the theory of intra-industry trade, this paper makes a quantitative and qualitative analysis of intra-industry trade in service industry between Korea and China by the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, and probes into the influencing factors of intra-industry trade in service industry between South Korea and China. First of all, the literature on intra-industry trade is summarized. Secondly, through G-L index and MIIT index, the index of intra-industry trade in service industry between Korea and China in recent years is calculated from static and dynamic aspects, respectively. It is concluded that the level of intra-industry trade between South Korea and China is in a medium state and fluctuates continuously by a small margin. Among them, the level of intra-industry trade in transport, tourism and communication services is relatively high, the level of intra-industry trade in insurance services and government services fluctuates greatly, and the level of intra-industry trade in other industries is relatively low. Then, it analyzes the influential factors of intra-industry trade in service industry between South Korea and China, which lays the foundation for the empirical research below. Thirdly, the econometric model is established, and the empirical results are obtained. From the empirical point of view, the main factors that affect intra-industry trade between Korea and China are proved. The empirical results show that the difference of per capita income and the degree of foreign economic opening are the most significant factors affecting the intra-industry trade between China and South Korea. The level of per capita income has a negative impact on intra-industry trade in services, and the degree of foreign economic opening has a positive impact on the level of intra-industry trade. However, due to some defects in the model, the coefficients of the explanatory variables, including FDI, scale economy level and trade imbalance level, are not significant. However, this does not mean that these variables have no effect on intra-industry trade between South Korea and China. Finally, synthesizing the results of empirical research, put forward the relevant policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】:湖南大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2012
【分类号】:F719;F224
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