城市专业化、多样化与生产性服务业集聚——基于中国283个地级以上城市面板数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-07-17 08:05

【摘要】：中国城市生产性服务业集聚发展的动力机制是什么?从城市专业化与多样化视角进行分析和阐述,并基于2004—2013年中国283个地级及以上城市相关数据,构建静态和动态面板模型进行经验验证。结果发现:1.无论从全国看还是从分区域看,城市生产性服务业集聚发展均具有自我强化的路径依赖作用;2.就城市专业化而言,中国城市生产性服务业集聚发展的主要力量源泉来自城市专业化水平的提高,尤其是中西部城市专业化水平的提高;3.就城市多样化而言,城市多样化水平与生产性服务业集聚间存在显著的"U型"非线性关系,中国当前正处于多样化水平提高促使生产性服务业集聚水平小幅下降的阶段。分区域看:东部城市多样化水平已突破拐点,生产性服务业集聚水平随多样化水平的提高而上升;而中西部城市多样化水平仍处于拐点之前,生产性服务业集聚水平随多样化水平的提高而下降。有关城市专业化与多样化对生产性服务业集聚的不同影响效应为中国城市发展路径选择提供了新的思路,对区域生产性服务业差异化集聚发展等具有重要的政策含义。
[Abstract]:What is the dynamic mechanism for the agglomeration development of urban producer services in China? From the perspective of urban specialization and diversification, this paper analyzes and expounds the experience of constructing static and dynamic panel models based on the related data of 283 cities at prefectural level and above in China from 2004 to 2013. It turned out that 1: 1. Both from the national point of view and from the sub-regional point of view, the urban producer services cluster development has a self-reinforcing path dependence. As far as urban specialization is concerned, the main source of urban producer service agglomeration in China lies in the improvement of urban specialization level, especially in central and western cities. As far as urban diversification is concerned, there is a significant "U" nonlinear relationship between the level of urban diversification and the concentration of producer services. At present, China is in the stage of increasing the level of diversification and decreasing the level of concentration of producer services. From a sub-regional perspective, the level of urban diversification in eastern China has broken through the inflection point, and the concentration level of producer services has increased with the increase of diversification level, while the diversification level of cities in the central and western regions is still at the inflection point. The agglomeration level of producer services decreased with the increase of diversification level. The different effects of urban specialization and diversification on producer service agglomeration provide new ideas for the choice of urban development path in China, and have important policy implications for regional producer services differentiation and agglomeration.
【作者单位】：中山大学粤港澳发展研究院、港澳珠江三角洲研究中心、港澳与内地合作发展协同创新中心;中山大学管理学院;
【基金】：打造“理论粤军”重大现实问题招标课题(LLYJ1306) 国家社会科学基金重点项目(12AZD025)
【分类号】：F224;F299.2;F719

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