北京市服务业IFDI对服务出口贸易的影响研究

发布时间：2018-10-07 18:04

【摘要】：随着经济结构的调整和国际贸易的发展,北京市作为中国经济发展的重点城市,其三大产业的发展步伐越来越快。“新常态”经济下,北京积极响应产业结构优化升级和对外开放的号召,服务业自由化和服务贸易开放度处于领先地位。2015年5月,在国务院的批复下,北京市成为国内第一个服务业扩大开放综合城市,凭借自身在服务贸易发展方面具有的优势,加大对服务业的支持力度。“十二五”时期,北京市的服务业加速发展,服务贸易规模持续扩大,服务业所带来的经济效益和非经济效益凸显,逐渐成为全市经济发展的重要力量。全文首先铺垫了北京市服务业的发展背景和研究意义,并据此引出要解决的问题,从积极和消极两大方面引出几大效应来探讨外商直接投资对服务业出口的理论路径。通过对北京市服务业IFDI及其出口现状的梳理和归纳,发现两者之间的联系并小结出北京市吸引外资与服务出口贸易的比较优势和问题。实证部分先后通过平稳性检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验等,最终通过最小二乘法回归分析,发现北京市服务业的IFDI与出口之间短期内互为格兰杰因果关系,长期则无明显关系。得出结论:北京市服务业IFDI在总体上会促进北京市服务出口贸易的增加,但是具体来看其各个效应发挥的作用不同,据此,提出促进北京服务出口的建议。本文主要采用理论与实证相结合的方法,研究北京市服务业的IFDI对贸易出口有何影响以及是如何影响的,意在补充北京市的IFDI流入服务业领域对出口贸易影响的路径和作用机制等方面的研究空缺。为北京服务业外资的合理引进与利用、加快服务贸易的出口建言献策,充分利用外资所带来的积极效应为北京市优化服务业产业内和产业间结构,为提高北京地区乃至中国服务业水平、促进服务贸易出口提供智力支撑。
[Abstract]:With the adjustment of economic structure and the development of international trade, Beijing, as the key city of China's economic development, is developing more and more rapidly. Under the "new normal" economy, Beijing has responded positively to the call for the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and opening to the outside world. The liberalization of services and the openness of trade in services are in a leading position. In May 2015, with the approval of the State Council, Beijing has become the first comprehensive city in China to expand the service industry and increase its support to the service industry by virtue of its advantages in the development of service trade. During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the service industry in Beijing accelerated its development, the scale of service trade continued to expand, and the economic and non-economic benefits brought by the service industry became prominent, which gradually became an important force in the economic development of the whole city. This paper first lays the background and significance of the development of Beijing's service industry, and then leads to the problems to be solved, from the positive and negative aspects of several major effects to explore the theoretical path of foreign direct investment to the export of service industry. Through combing and summing up the status quo of IFDI and its export in service industry of Beijing, this paper finds out the relationship between them and summarizes the comparative advantages and problems in attracting foreign capital and service export trade in Beijing. In the empirical part, through the smoothness test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and so on, finally through the least square regression analysis, it is found that the IFDI and export of Beijing service industry are Granger causality in the short term. There is no obvious relationship in the long run. It is concluded that the IFDI of service industry in Beijing will promote the increase of service export trade in Beijing on the whole, but its effects are different. Based on this, some suggestions are put forward to promote the export of services in Beijing. This article mainly uses the theory and the empirical method, studies the Beijing service industry IFDI to have the influence to the trade export as well as how to influence. The purpose of this paper is to supplement the lack of research on the influence of IFDI inflow into service industry on export trade in Beijing. Suggestions for the rational introduction and utilization of foreign capital in the service industry in Beijing, suggestions for speeding up the export of service trade, and positive effects brought by the full utilization of foreign capital for the optimization of the intra-industry and inter-industry structure of the service industry in Beijing, In order to improve the level of service industry in Beijing and even China, to promote the export of services to provide intellectual support.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719;F752.68

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