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山东省海洋产业与现代服务业互动发展研究

发布时间:2019-04-26 14:36
【摘要】:随着山东省海洋经济的快速发展,海洋产业在国民经济中的地位日益凸显,并已成为全省经济发展的支柱产业,海洋经济成为了山东省经济发展的增长点。由于海洋产业发展的支撑点是陆域产业,特别是服务业对海洋产业后续发展的支持;当海洋产业发展到一定阶段后,海洋产业的市场竞争力与产品附加值的提升主要是依赖于服务产业的支持,而现代服务业作为服务产业中最具有发展潜力、发展活力的部分,必将给海洋产业的快速发展带来深远影响。因此,加快对海洋产业与现代服务业的互动关系的研究,对合理引导山东省现代服务业的良性发展,推进海洋产业快速发展具有一定的重要意义。 本文以山东省海洋产业与现代服务业为研究对象,综合运用定性与定量相结合的研究方法,对山东省海洋产业与现代服务业间的互动发展关系进行了深入研究。首先,根据国内外互动发展理论的研究,,探讨了海洋产业与现代服务业的互动发展机理;其次,从产值、规模、就业能力及投资等方面对山东省海洋产业与现代服务业的发展现状进行了综合分析,并得出山东省两产业间具有一定的互相发展关系;再次,全文在理论分析的基础上,选取山东省2002-2011年的时间序列数据,建立线性回归模型,通过协整分析、格兰杰因果分析及修正模型等动态计量分析方法,对山东省海洋产业与现代服务业之间是否存在良性的互动发展关系进行了分析。分析表明:(1)山东省海洋产业与现代服务业发展水平之间具有高度相关性;(2)两产业之间存在长期均衡的发展关系,但两者的互推作用并不明显。最后,本文就如何促进山东省海洋产业与现代服务业间的互动发展提出相关对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of marine economy in Shandong Province, the position of marine industry in the national economy has become increasingly prominent, and has become the pillar industry of economic development in Shandong Province, and the marine economy has become the growth point of economic development in Shandong Province. Because the supporting point of marine industry development is land-based industry, especially the support of service industry to the follow-up development of marine industry; When the marine industry develops to a certain stage, the market competitiveness of the marine industry and the promotion of the added value of the products are mainly dependent on the support of the service industry, and the modern service industry, as the most potential and dynamic part of the service industry, It will bring far-reaching influence to the rapid development of marine industry. Therefore, it is of great significance to accelerate the research on the interaction between marine industry and modern service industry in order to reasonably guide the benign development of modern service industry in Shandong Province and promote the rapid development of marine industry. Taking the marine industry and modern service industry in Shandong Province as the research object, this paper makes a deep research on the interactive development relationship between the marine industry and the modern service industry in Shandong Province by using the combination of qualitative and quantitative research methods. Firstly, according to the research of interactive development theory at home and abroad, the interactive development mechanism between marine industry and modern service industry is discussed. Secondly, from the aspects of output value, scale, employability and investment, this paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the development status of marine industry and modern service industry in Shandong Province, and draws a conclusion that there is a certain mutual development relationship between the two industries in Shandong Province. Thirdly, on the basis of theoretical analysis, the paper selects the time series data of Shandong Province 2002 / 2011 to establish a linear regression model, through cointegration analysis, Granger causality analysis and modified model and other dynamic metrological analysis methods. The relationship between marine industry and modern service industry in Shandong province is analyzed. The analysis shows that: (1) there is a high correlation between the development level of marine industry and modern service industry in Shandong Province, and (2) there is a long-term balanced development relationship between the two industries, but the interaction between the two industries is not obvious. Finally, this paper puts forward some suggestions on how to promote the interactive development between marine industry and modern service industry in Shandong Province.
【学位授予单位】:沈阳大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:P74;F719

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