日本新能源消费对经济增长的影响及启示
发布时间:2018-01-23 20:27
本文关键词: 能源消费 新能源 经济增长 能源政策 出处:《湖北大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:随着全球经济高速发展,以传统能源为主的能源消费总量也日益增加,但与此同时,废气排放量急剧上升,环境污染问题严重,这些都严重阻碍了世界经济的发展和人们生活水平的提高。因此,为实现经济可持续发展,世界各国开始注重新能源的研发和利用,而日本作为东北亚发达国家,其新能源的发展有许多值得我国借鉴的地方。在此背景下研究日本新能源消费与经济增长的关系,对我国制定新能源政策,发展以新能源消费为主的低碳经济具有重要的理论和现实意义。 首先,本文将日本的能源消费总量作为第三种生产要素考虑到Cobb-Douglas生产函数中,选取1990-2012年间相关经济数据对包括新能源在内的日本能源总消费量与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。然后运用协整理论对日本能源消费为与经济增长之间关系进行了检验,实证结果表明日本能源消费与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,并建立了长期均衡模型。通过运用Granger因果关系检验证明了日本能源总消费量对经济增长存在着单向因果关系。回归分析结果表明:日本的GDP增长与能源消费、资本存量、劳动力这三者显著相关。其中资本存量对GDP增长的推动最大,能源消费其次,劳动力最小。再次,本文研究了以风能、水能以及核能为主的新能源消费与经济增长之间的关系,运用协整性检验以及修正误差模型理论证明了日本新能源消费与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,并建立了经济增长模型。通过Granger因果关系检验证明了日本新能源消费与经济增长之间在10%的显著水平下存在着单向因果关系。最后,结合实证分析结果,对日本新能源产业发展提出了政策建议,认为日本的能源政策应侧重节能降耗,同时讨论了其对我国新能源产业发展的启示。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of the global economy, the total amount of energy consumption based on traditional energy is increasing day by day, but at the same time, the emission of exhaust gas is rising sharply, and the problem of environmental pollution is serious. These have seriously hindered the development of the world economy and the improvement of people's living standard. Therefore, in order to achieve sustainable economic development, countries in the world began to pay attention to the research and development and utilization of new energy. Japan, as a developed country in Northeast Asia, has much to learn from its new energy development. In this context, the relationship between Japan's new energy consumption and economic growth is studied, and new energy policies are formulated for China. The development of low-carbon economy with new energy consumption is of great theoretical and practical significance. First of all, the total energy consumption in Japan is taken into account in the Cobb-Douglas production function as the third factor of production. Based on the relevant economic data from 1990 to 2012, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between total energy consumption and economic growth in Japan, including new energy sources, and then applies cointegration theory to analyze the relationship between Japan's energy consumption and economic growth. The relationship between economic growth has been tested. The empirical results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Japan. By using Granger causality test, it is proved that Japan's total energy consumption has a one-way causal relationship with economic growth. The results of regression analysis show that:. Japan's GDP growth and energy consumption. Capital stock, labor force are significantly related to each other. Among them, capital stock has the greatest impact on GDP growth, energy consumption is the second, labor force is the smallest. Thirdly, this paper studies wind energy. The relationship between water and nuclear energy consumption and economic growth, using cointegration test and modified error model theory, proves that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between new energy consumption and economic growth in Japan. Through the Granger causality test, it is proved that there is a one-way causality between Japan's new energy consumption and economic growth at a significant level of 10%. Based on the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the development of new energy industry in Japan, and points out that Japan's energy policy should focus on saving energy and reducing consumption. At the same time, it discusses the enlightenment to the development of new energy industry in China.
【学位授予单位】:湖北大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F416.2;F131.3
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