伊拉克鲁迈拉油气田二期项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-06-15 06:34

本文选题：海外油气田 + 伊拉克　；参考：《东北石油大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：石油天然气资源作为保障国民经济安全的重要战略资源，一直以来在世界范围内受到高度关注。自两伊战争以来，伊拉克地区的巨大油气储存当量一直是各国石油企业投资目标的首选。伊拉克地区油气田项目开发与国内油气田项目相比，具有综合性风险高、施工难度大，工艺流程复杂，施工事故影响大等特点。因此，通过借鉴其他国外公司运作伊拉克项目的风险管理经验，结合大庆油田自身特点，在鲁迈拉油气田二期项目投资前，针对其风险进行识别评估势在必行。论文从介绍国内外风险管理研究成果入手，阐述了海外项目风险管理理论及海外油气田项目特点、风险种类，对比了境内外油气田项目的不同。通过采用德尔菲法和检查表法识别鲁迈拉油气田二期项目风险，从而识别出影响鲁迈拉油气田二期项目正常运营的八类风险，即政治风险，经济风险，环境风险，供应风险，技术风险，管理风险，基建风险，健康风险，依照风险来源分类为内部风险和外部风险两个指标层面，并组织专家对该项目可能遇到的八类风险计算了指标权重，而后进行定性评估和定量评估，评定鲁迈拉油气田二期项目风险为中等偏下。针对此风险评估结果，，需要在投资前进行科学谨慎的详尽分析，并对此从国家、企业以及项目自身三个层面提出了风险应对策略。通过伊拉克鲁迈拉油气田二期项目的风险管理研究，对于提高大庆油田开发海外市场的风险管理水平，改善海外投资的风险管理环境，保证成功构建科学的项目开发风险管理系统具有一定的理论价值与实践指导意义。
[Abstract]:As an important strategic resource to guarantee the national economic security, oil and gas resources have been highly concerned around the world. Since the Iraq war, the huge oil and gas storage equivalent in Iraq has always been the first choice for the investment targets of oil and gas enterprises in various countries. It has the characteristics of high comprehensive risk, difficult construction, complex process and great influence on construction accidents. Therefore, it is imperative to identify and evaluate the risk of the two phase of the Daqing oil and gas field before the investment of other foreign companies to operate the risk management experience of the Iraq project and the characteristics of the oil field itself.
Starting with the introduction of the research results of risk management at home and abroad, this paper expounds the risk management theory of overseas projects, the characteristics of overseas oil and gas field projects, the types of risk and the difference between the domestic and foreign oil and gas field projects. By using Delphy Fa and the inspection table method, the risk of the two phase of the Lu Myra oil and gas field is identified, thus identifying the influence of the oil and gas of the Lu Myra. The eight types of risk, such as political risk, economic risk, environmental risk, supply risk, technology risk, management risk, infrastructure risk, health risk, classified as internal risk and external risk according to the source of risk, are classified into two indicators of internal and external risk according to the source of risk, and the weight of index weights is calculated for the eight types of risk that the project may encounter. Then qualitative and quantitative assessment, the risk of the two phase of the Lu Myra oil and gas field is moderate, and the result of this risk assessment requires a scientific and careful analysis before the investment, and the risk response strategy is put forward from the three levels of the country, the enterprise and the project itself. Through the Iraq Lu Myra oil and gas field two The research on risk management of the project is of theoretical and practical significance for improving the risk management level of the overseas market of Daqing oilfield, improving the risk management environment of overseas investment, and ensuring the successful construction of a scientific project development risk management system.
【学位授予单位】：东北石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F416.22

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