重庆市建筑业发展与增长空间预测研究

发布时间：2018-06-15 08:18

本文选题：建筑业 + 产业增长　；参考：《重庆大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：近三十年来，我国建筑业在国民经济中的产业贡献率从1979年的1.3%增加至2012年的6%，，其间甚至达到10%，在我国产业发展过程中占据重要地位。建筑业作为重要产业，基于其产业现状对建筑业规模发展空间和路径进行分析，对产业参与各方都具有重要意义。本文以重庆建筑业数据为基础，通过理论归纳、现状总结来分析重庆建筑业发展，通过数量经济学方法对重庆建筑业发展空间测算，制定重庆建筑业发展策略。首先，从选题背景出发，结合国内外建筑业经济增长和发展路径研究文献，归纳总结经济增长与产业发展理论，明确经济增长定义，阐述经济增长理论发展；从基本要素、分工、产业生命周期、产业演化路径等四方面来阐述产业演化理论。其次，从产业规模、从业规模、效率水平、盈利水平、竞争性、经济效益等多方面对重庆建筑业内部之间、直辖市之间、西部地区省份之间进行比较，明确重庆建筑业所处定位和现状。再次，对重庆市建筑产业增长空间预测，基于重庆市建筑业规模数据，选取无偏灰色马尔科夫链方法和Logistic模型，预测重庆市建筑业增长趋势和产业成长阶段。最后，基于柯布道格拉斯函数，结合集约度与粗放度数学公式，对重庆建筑业进行因素贡献度、集约度、粗放度测算，从而制定重庆市建筑业发展策略，提出产业优化、技术发展、企业外向拓展、行业人才培养措施。
[Abstract]:In the past three decades, the industry contribution rate of China's construction industry in the national economy has increased from 1.3% in 1979 to 6% in 2012, and even reached 10%, which occupies an important position in the process of industrial development in China. As an important industry, it is of great significance to analyze the space and path of scale development of construction industry based on its industrial status. Based on the data of Chongqing construction industry, this paper analyzes the development of Chongqing construction industry through theoretical induction and summary of present situation, calculates the development space of Chongqing construction industry by quantitative economics method, and formulates the development strategy of Chongqing construction industry. First of all, from the background of the topic, combined with the domestic and foreign construction industry economic growth and development path research literature, summed up the economic growth and industrial development theory, clear definition of economic growth, economic growth theory development; from the basic elements, Division of labor, industry life cycle, industrial evolution path to elaborate the theory of industrial evolution. Secondly, from the industrial scale, the scale of employment, the level of efficiency, the level of profit, competitiveness, economic benefits and other aspects of the construction industry in Chongqing, between the municipalities directly under the Central Government, the provinces of the western region are compared. Make clear the position and present situation of Chongqing construction industry. Thirdly, based on the scale data of Chongqing construction industry, the unbiased grey Markov chain method and Logistic model are selected to forecast the growth trend and industry growth stage of Chongqing construction industry. Finally, based on Cobb Douglas function, combined with the mathematical formula of intensive degree and extensive degree, the factor contribution degree, intensive degree and extensive degree of Chongqing construction industry are calculated, so as to formulate the development strategy of Chongqing construction industry and put forward industrial optimization. Technology development, enterprise outward development, industry personnel training measures.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.92;F127

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