中国对东盟直接投资的贸易效应分析

发布时间：2018-01-11 08:30

本文关键词：中国对东盟直接投资的贸易效应分析　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国和东盟都是21世纪最具活力的经济体之一,由于特殊的历史关系和地理因素,中国和东盟有着比较深厚的经济合作基础。尤其是2002年以后,中国-东盟自由贸易区的正式启动以来,中国和东盟的合作更是不断得到深化。除了受2008年金融危机影响外,中国对东盟的投资额和贸易额都在加速增长。鉴于国际直接投资和国际贸易之间有着不可分割的联系,研究二者之间的关系对于更好的加强中国和东盟的经济合作具有重要的意义。就对外直接投资和进出口贸易的关系来看,国外学者的研究主要集中于以下三点,即对外直接投资和进出口贸易存在着相互替代、相互促进和不确定三种关系。而且关于二者关系的研究对象也多集中于中于发达国家之间的相互投资或者发达国家对发展中国家的投资。国内学者对对外直接投资的研究起步相对较晚,而且研究更多的集中于外商对华直接投资的技术溢出效应和贸易效应。国内外学者对中国的对外直接投资的贸易效应研究则相对不多,即便有些学者作了研究,也多侧重于企业进行FDI的原因、优势和不足之处。本文以中国对东盟的直接投资为研究对象,着重探讨其对中国与东盟十国进出口贸易的影响,具体而言,本文以对外直接投资的国际贸易效应理论作为分析的理论基础,以中国对东盟的直接投资和二者的贸易现状作为分析对象,通过运用规范分析的方法,进行理论分析,并在此基础上,基于面板数据,依据引力模型,通过计量分析方法,分析中国2004-2013年对东盟各国直接投资的进出口贸易效应。实证研究结果显示,中国对东盟地区的直接投资对于拉动中国向其出口具有积极作用,对于中国的进口却产生了一定的替代作用。最后,根据以上分析结果,提出作者的政策建议:政府要为我国企业在东盟的投资创造更好的条件,加强和东盟地区的政策合作;另外,企业投资东盟国家时,既要结合国内产业转移的大背景,又要以自身优势为基础,选择合理的投资产业,并根据投资动机和东盟国家的具体资源环境禀赋选择投资国家。
[Abstract]:Chinese and ASEAN is one of the most dynamic economies in twenty-first Century, due to historical and geographical factors of the special relationship, Chinese and has a deep foundation of the ASEAN economic cooperation. Especially after 2002, has officially launched Chinese ASEAN Free Trade Area, Chinese and ASEAN cooperation is deepening. In addition to the the 2008 financial crisis, China of ASEAN Investment and trade volume are accelerating growth. In view of the inseparable link between international direct investment and international trade, and research the relationship between the two is of great significance for strengthening economic cooperation between ASEAN and China better. The foreign direct investment and import and export trade relations, foreign scholars mainly focus on the following three points, namely, foreign direct investment and import and export trade have mutual substitution, mutual promotion and uncertain three off Department of mutual investment. And study about the relationship between the two is also more concentrated in the developed countries or the developed countries investment in developing countries. The domestic scholars on foreign direct investment research started relatively late, technology spillover effect and trade effect and research more focused on foreign direct investment in China. The research on the trade effect of China foreign scholars on the China of foreign direct investment is relatively small, even though some scholars have studied, also focus on enterprise FDI reasons, advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, China to ASEAN direct investment as the research object, focusing on the impact of China and ASEAN import and export trade specific in this paper, the international trade effect of foreign direct investment theory as the theoretical basis of the analysis, the trade situation Chinese of direct investment in ASEAN and two as The analysis object, by using the method of normative analysis, theoretical analysis, and on this basis, based on the panel data, according to the gravity model through quantitative analysis method, analysis China 2004-2013 years direct investment to ASEAN import and export trade effect. The empirical research results show that the Chinese direct investment in ASEAN to promote Chinese to the export has a positive effect, for Chinese imports have some substitution effect. Finally, according to the above analysis, the author put forward the policy recommendations: the government should for Chinese enterprises to create better conditions in the ASEAN Investment, strengthen cooperation and ASEAN Policy; in addition, enterprises investing in ASEAN countries, not only to with the background of the transfer of the domestic industry, but also based on their own advantages, reasonable selection of the investment industry, and according to the investment motivation and ASEAN specific resource environment report Fu chooses to invest in a country.

【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7

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