TPP的发展前景分析与中国对策研究

发布时间：2018-03-07 11:14

本文选题：跨太平洋战略经济伙伴关系协定　切入点：最新进展　出处：《天津商业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：跨太平洋战略经济伙伴关系协定(TPP)是在美国主导下,跨太平洋部分经济体共同参与的区域经贸合作关系协定,被誉为21世纪自由贸易的新模板,是“新一代,级别更高,超越WTO”的区域自贸协议。其前身为2005年新加坡、新西兰、智利、文莱四个亚洲国家在亚太经合组织(APEC)框架内进行签定的多边自贸协定(P4)。自2008年2月美国高调宣布加入后,逐步被美国主导并成为其战略东移进而重返亚太的关键台阶。于2013年7月安倍政府不顾及日本国内强大的反对呼声,在历经两年的艰难谈判之后正式地加入到TPP中,成为其第12个成员国。但迫于国内压力美日谈判异常艰难,主要矛盾为日方不愿降低的农产品关税与日本不承认美国对其出口的汽车所使用所谓美国汽车安全标准。作为TPP中两大经济体,美日经济总额占到了全部12个TPP成员国经济总额的七成以上,因此美国与日本可否就以上分歧达成一致将会是TPP谈判最终能否成功签署的关键性因素,此外TPP内以菲律宾为代表的贸易小国的谨慎态度,也给TPP的最终框架达成蒙上一层阴影。本文主要研究并分析了TPP及其最新进展及其内部分歧,包括以日本为代表的TPP内部发达经济体同美国的分歧以及以菲律宾为代表的TPP新兴国家同美国的分歧,均表现出了美国在借TPP复制并推行其一贯的对外经贸合作模板时的力不从心。在此基础上,结合目前亚太地区最新国际政治经济新格局、新变化,对TPP的发展前景与模式进行了预测式的分析。最后,通过总结前人对TPP的经济效益模型分析的共同结论,根据TPP对中国存在的影响与启示结合目前我国国内外经济新常态,分析并研究我国应当采取的对策。
[Abstract]:The Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP) is a regional economic and trade cooperation agreement in which some economies across the Pacific are participating under the leadership of the United States. It is hailed as a new template for free trade in 21th century. Its predecessor was Singapore, New Zealand, Chile, and Brunei in 2005, the multilateral Free Trade Agreement (FTA) signed by four Asian countries within the framework of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). Since the US announced its accession in high profile on February 2008, Gradually led by the United States and become a key step in its strategy to move eastward and return to the Asia-Pacific region. In July 2013, the Abe administration, disregarding the strong opposition in Japan, formally joined the TPP after two years of difficult negotiations. To become its 12th member. But under domestic pressure, negotiations between the United States and Japan have been extremely difficult. The main contradiction is the reluctance of Japan to lower tariffs on agricultural products and Japan's refusal to recognize the so-called American car safety standards used by the United States for cars exported to it. The two largest economies in the TPP, The total economic volume of the United States and Japan accounts for more than 70% of the total economic volume of all 12 TPP member countries. Therefore, whether the United States and Japan can reach an agreement on the above differences will be the key factor for the successful signing of the TPP negotiations. In addition, the cautious attitude of the small trading countries represented by the Philippines in the TPP also casts a shadow over the final framework of the TPP. This paper mainly studies and analyzes the TPP and its latest progress and its internal differences. Including the differences between the developed economies and the United States within the TPP represented by Japan, and the differences between the emerging TPP countries, represented by the Philippines, and the United States. All of them show that the United States is unable to do what it has done when using TPP to replicate and implement its usual template for foreign economic and trade cooperation. On this basis, in the light of the latest new international political and economic patterns and new changes in the Asia-Pacific region, The development prospects and models of TPP are analyzed. Finally, by summing up the common conclusions of previous economic model analysis of TPP, according to the influence and inspiration of TPP on China, combined with the new normal of domestic and foreign economy at present. This paper analyzes and studies the countermeasures that should be taken in our country.
【学位授予单位】：天津商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F744;F752.7

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