货币壁垒对我国出口贸易的影响研究
本文选题:货币壁垒 切入点:出口贸易 出处:《河北大学》2015年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:2007年作为金融危机爆发的起点,不仅世界上许多国家的经济发展都深受其害,也影响了其进出口贸易,于是这些国家纷纷开始寻找更好的奖出限入的的举措。美日欧等发达国家充分利用了经济金融一体化货币自由流通的特点,利用本币变动间接影响其他国家币值变动来实施货币壁垒以达到贸易保护的目的,不仅使我国人民币升值汇率下跌影响了以美元计价的商品价格,还通过能源货币影响世界大宗商品价格抬高成本以影响国际竞争力。此举对我国以及其他新兴市场国家的汇率以及进出口贸易造成了巨大的冲击和挑战。本文从我国遭遇货币壁垒的现状出发,系统的阐述了2008年金融危机以来以美国为首的发达国家货币壁垒大幅实施对我国出口贸易产生的巨大影响和挑战。在此基础之上运用定性分析方法分析了货币壁垒对我国出口贸易造成的影响,主要表现在削弱了我国出口的国际竞争力,缩小了我国的出口市场,使传统的出口优势行业受到直接冲击,增加了我国出口的生产经营成本几个方面,运用定量分析方法分析了货币壁垒对我国出口贸易以及出口贸易结构的影响,得出了协整关系。通过分析日本和德国在20世纪80年代时货币壁垒对其造成的影响,以及它们在应对货币壁垒所采取的一系列措施,从中吸取一些经验教训,扬长避短,并结合我国基本国情,得到有利于我国经济健康发展的启示。进而从企业、政府层面寻求应对货币壁垒促进我国贸易健康发展的对策,完善我国的体系政策,促进企业快速转型,加大自主研发的力度,增强企业规避货币壁垒带来的风险的能力。
[Abstract]:In 2007, as the starting point of the outbreak of the financial crisis, not only did the economic development of many countries in the world suffer greatly, but also affected their import and export trade. As a result, these countries have begun to look for better measures to limit entry. Developed countries such as the United States, Japan, and Europe have taken full advantage of the characteristics of the free circulation of economically and financially integrated currencies. Taking advantage of the indirect influence of local currency changes on other countries' currency changes to implement monetary barriers to achieve the purpose of trade protection, not only makes China's RMB appreciation and exchange rate fall, but also affects the price of commodities denominated in US dollars. It also affects international competitiveness through the impact of energy currencies on world commodity prices. This has caused great impact and challenge to the exchange rate of our country and other emerging market countries as well as to the import and export trade. Proceeding from the current situation of China's encounter with monetary barriers, This paper systematically expounds the enormous influence and challenge to China's export trade caused by the substantial implementation of monetary barriers in developed countries led by the United States since the financial crisis in 2008. On the basis of this, the paper analyzes the monetary wall by using qualitative analysis method. The impact on China's export trade, The main performance is that it weakens the international competitiveness of our country's exports, reduces our export market, directly impacts the traditional export advantage industries, and increases the production and operation costs of our country's exports. This paper analyzes the influence of monetary barriers on China's export trade and export trade structure by means of quantitative analysis, and obtains the cointegration relationship. By analyzing the influence of monetary barriers on China's export trade and export trade structure in 1980s, Japan and Germany are analyzed. And a series of measures they have taken to deal with monetary barriers, draw some experiences and lessons from them, promote their strengths and circumvent their weaknesses, and combine with the basic conditions of our country to get enlightenment conducive to the healthy economic development of our country. Then, from the perspective of enterprises, The government seeks countermeasures to promote the healthy development of China's trade, perfect our country's system policies, promote the rapid transformation of enterprises, increase the strength of independent research and development, and enhance the ability of enterprises to avoid the risks brought by monetary barriers.
【学位授予单位】:河北大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F821;F752.62
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