我国生产性服务业出口与制造业出口的互动性研究

发布时间：2018-03-20 18:35

本文选题：生产性服务业出口　切入点：制造业出口　出处：《安徽大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来,我国制造业出口贸易发展迅速,制造业出口额由1997年的1588.39亿美元增长到2015年的21695.41亿美元,其年均增长率为15.57%。虽然我国现在是全球最大的有形贸易出口国家,但不可否认的是中国制造的背后存在诸多问题,企业的技术水平和创新能力不高导致制造业长期位于全球价值链的低端,其出口贸易的发展正面临着巨大的压力。另一方面,从20世纪80年代开始,我国的服务贸易迅速发展,同时,生产性服务贸易也取得了长足的发展,其出口额由1997年的118.2亿美元增长到2014年的1175亿美元,年均增长率为16.23%,但也存在着贸易结构不平衡、贸易逆差逐渐扩大、竞争优势弱化等问题。随着现代信息技术的迅速发展和广泛使用,生产性服务业和制造业间关系日益加强,二者的产业边界越来越模糊,呈现出产业间融合的新态势,促进制造业出口增长的竞争优势已不再限于产品本身,更在于随着产品出口的一揽子相关的生产性服务。纵观经济强国的发展,加快发展服务业尤其是生产性服务业,形成生产性服务业出口和制造业出口的良性互动,是经济发展不可逾越的阶段。在此背景下,论文从理论与实证的角度研究了我国生产性服务贸易出口与制造业出口间的互动关系。首先论述文章选题背景、研究意义、文献综述、论文思路,接着,本文分析适用于生产性服务业出口与制造业出口互动关系的理论基础,包括新贸易理论、新新贸易理论和竞争优势理论。之后分析了我国生产性服务业整体出口及细分行业出口、制造业整体出口及分类型出口的现状。最后建立联立方程与多元线性回归方程模型,实证探究生产性服务业出口和制造业出口的关系,生产性服务细分行业出口对制造业出口的影响以及三大类制造行业出口对生产性服务业出口的影响。研究结果表明:总体上,我国的生产性服务业出口和制造业出口存在良好的互动关系,生产性服务业出口有利于制造业出口的发展,同时制造业出口也拉动了生产性服务业的出口;生产性服务业细分行业运输、保险、金融以及电信计算机和信息服务的出口均促进制造业的出口,并且运输服务出口对制造业出口的贡献最大,电信、计算机和信息服务出口对制造业出口的影响次之,保险居第三位,金融的影响最小;劳动密集型制造业、资本密集型制造业及技术密集型制造业出口均对生产性服务业出口有正作用,并且资本密集型出口对生产性服务业出口的贡献最大,技术密集型出口对生产性服务业出口的影响次之,劳动密集型的影响最小。此外,研发强度、企业规模促进我国制造业出口的发展,而外商直接投资削弱我国制造业出口;外商直接投资与服务贸易开放度均促进生产性服务业出口发展,而我国的服务业水平抑制生产性服务业的出口。根据论文分析结果,提出了促进生产性服务业出口和制造业出口以及加强两者良性互动的建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's manufacturing export trade develops rapidly, manufacturing exports increased from $158 billion 839 million in 1997 to $2 trillion and 169 billion 541 million in 2015, the average annual growth rate of 15.57%., although China is now the world's largest visible trade export country, but it is undeniable that China's manufacturing behind there are many problems in the technical level and the innovation ability of enterprises is not high in low-end manufacturing is long-term in the global value chain, the development of the export trade is facing great pressure. On the other hand, from the beginning of 1980s, China's service trade develops quickly, at the same time, the productive service trade has made considerable development, its export growth from $11 billion 820 million in 1997 to $117 billion 500 million in 2014, an average annual growth rate of 16.23%, but also the existence of trade structure imbalance, trade deficit gradually expanded, the competitive advantage of weak tendency. With the With the rapid development of modern information technology and wide use of producer services and manufacturing in the relationship between the increasing of the two industry boundaries become increasingly blurred, showing a new trend of industry convergence, promote manufacturing export growth competitive advantage is no longer limited to the product itself, but also in the package associated with products exported production service. Throughout the development of economic power, accelerate the development of service industry especially the productive service industry, the formation of positive interaction of producer services exports and manufacturing exports, economic development is the impassable stage. In this background, the study on the interaction between China's producer services trade exports and manufacturing exports between from the theoretical and empirical perspectives. Firstly, the research background, research significance, literature review, research ideas, then, this paper analysis applicable to the production of the export of services and manufacturing Theoretical basis of the interactive relationship between exports, including the new trade theory, new trade theory and competitive advantage theory. After the analysis of China's producer service industry overall export and export industries, the overall status of export manufacturing and export classification. Finally, a simultaneous equation and multiple linear regression equation model, empirical study of production relations the export of services and manufacturing exports, influence of productive service industry segments exports to manufacturing exports as well as the three major categories of export manufacturing industry production services exports. The results show that the total body, there is a good interactive relationship between producer services and manufacturing export export, development for manufacturing export production services exports, while manufacturing exports has driven the development of the productive service industry exports; sub sectors of producer services and transportation, insurance, gold Financial and telecommunication export of computer and information services are to promote manufacturing exports, and export transportation service contribution to manufacturing exports, telecommunications, computer and information services export impact on manufacturing exports of insurance ranks third, financial impact minimum; labor intensive manufacturing industry, capital intensive manufacturing industry and technology intensive manufacturing exports are exported to the producer service industry has a positive effect, and capital intensive export export of producer services contribution and technology intensive export export of producer services on the second, effects of labor intensive minimum. In addition, research and development strength, promote enterprise scale the development of China's manufacturing exports, foreign direct investment and weaken the export of China's manufacturing industry; foreign direct investment and service trade openness are the promotion of producer services development and China's export. The level of service industry inhibits the export of producer services. Based on the results of the paper, suggestions for promoting export and export of producer services and enhancing their positive interaction are put forward.

【学位授予单位】：安徽大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719;F424;F752.62

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