中俄贸易总量,结构及影响因素的分析

发布时间：2018-03-30 16:37

本文选题：中国　切入点：俄罗斯　出处：《华东师范大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：中俄经贸关系有着悠久的历史。最近,中俄经贸关系越来越受到人们的关注和讨论。中俄经贸合作是在相互政治信赖、共同的互利互惠的基础上以进行的,符合两国发展的利益。本论文的题目是具有一定现实意义。一直以来中国是俄罗斯在亚洲最重要的合作伙伴之一,两国的合作前景也十分广阔。两国领导都认为,目前中俄贸易合作的发展潜力巨大。本论文分别对中国和俄罗斯对外贸易结构、外贸伙伴等进行重点分析讨论,并通过对研究相关专家的著作文献、中国和俄罗斯对外贸易数据并运用相关数据分析、OLS模型等统计方法分别对中俄贸易总额、进出口及其地理结构进行全面科学的分析。研究两国合作的重要影响因素以及存在的缺陷与不足,并进而提出相关的建议。本论文的特点是对俄罗斯海关与中国海关的数据进行比较分析,不同于一般的研究者只运用一个国家的数据进行统计。此外,本论文结合了作者的实践经验研究中俄贸易问题,加入了作者作为中俄外贸青年在中俄贸易活动中的亲身经历、实际经验和感悟,而不仅仅是简单地分析官方统计数据和采纳其他学者的观点。作者通过运用OLS模型,得出结论：在中俄贸易中,中国对俄罗斯更倾向于能源资源方面的需求,而俄罗斯则更多购买移动电话、衣服、鞋子等。因为俄罗斯主要供给中国原料和能源,但中国是俄罗斯的制成品主要供应者。值得注意的是中国的对外贸易额是俄罗斯的对外贸易额的很多倍。本论文认为,俄罗斯对中国的出口不应该仅仅只局限于原料资源,应有更多高科技的产品。两国要充分利用边境地区的潜力、改善相互贸易结构以及增加相互投资项目。经过以上研究调查,作者发现中俄贸易正在快速持续增长,但与此同时也存在一定问题,如两国贸易整体机构存在系统性腐败,中俄经济一增一退,两国边界欠发达地区拖累整体贸易进程等。若是能克服这些问题,中俄双边贸易合作会有更广阔的前途以及更大的发展空间。
[Abstract]:Sino-Russian economic and trade relations have a long history. Recently, Sino-Russian economic and trade relations have attracted more and more attention and discussion. Sino-Russian economic and trade cooperation is carried out on the basis of mutual political trust, common mutual benefit and mutual benefit. It is in the interests of the development of both countries. The title of this paper is of certain practical significance. China has always been one of Russia's most important cooperation partners in Asia, and the prospects for cooperation between the two countries are also very broad. At present, the development potential of Sino-Russian trade cooperation is great. This paper focuses on the structure of foreign trade of China and Russia, foreign trade partners and so on. The foreign trade data of China and Russia and the use of relevant data to analyze the total volume of trade between China and Russia using statistical methods such as the OLS model, To conduct a comprehensive and scientific analysis of imports and exports and their geographical structure. To study the important factors affecting the cooperation between the two countries, as well as their shortcomings and shortcomings, The characteristics of this paper are to compare and analyze the data of the Russian Customs and the Chinese Customs, which is different from that of the general researchers who only use the data of one country for statistics. This paper combines the author's practical experience to study Sino-Russian trade issues, and adds the author's personal experience, practical experience and perception in the Sino-Russian trade activities as the youth of Sino-Russian foreign trade. Instead of simply analyzing official statistics and adopting the views of other scholars, the author draws a conclusion by using the OLS model: in Sino-Russian trade, China is more inclined to demand energy resources from Russia. Russia, on the other hand, buys more mobile phones, clothes, shoes, etc., because Russia mainly supplies China with raw materials and energy. However, China is the main supplier of manufactured goods to Russia. It is worth noting that China's foreign trade volume is many times that of Russia's. This paper believes that Russia's exports to China should not be limited to raw material resources. There should be more high-tech products. The two countries should make full use of the potential of the border areas, improve the structure of mutual trade and increase mutual investment projects. Through the above research and investigation, the authors have found that Sino-Russian trade is growing rapidly and continuously. But at the same time, there are also certain problems, such as systemic corruption in the overall trade institutions of the two countries, an increase in the economic growth of China and Russia, and a drag on the overall trade process in underdeveloped areas along the border between the two countries. If these problems can be overcome, Bilateral trade cooperation between China and Russia will have a broader future and greater room for development.
【学位授予单位】：华东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7;F755.12

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