中国企业的传递贸易出口模式：事实与解释

发布时间：2018-04-18 21:15

本文选题：传递贸易 + 中介贸易　；参考：《大连理工大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：加入世界贸易组织是推动我国对外贸易发展的助力器,短短13年后,中国的对外贸易总额已冲破4万亿美元,成为全球第一大贸易国。伴随着“中国制造”的标签贴遍全球,进一步扩大和稳定国际市场份额的难度也随之提高：面对人民币不断升值和贸易摩擦不断加剧的国际市场,中国企业依靠低成本建立起来的比较优势正在逐步消失,导致贸易条件正在恶化；因此,解决当前中国出口面临外需回升缓慢、国际市场份额进一步提升难度大、贸易条件恶化等诸多困难,破解这一困境、实现出口“稳增长、调结构”的战略目标亟需探索新型贸易方式。为此,本文首先引入传递贸易的实例,介绍传递贸易(Pass-on Trade)的概念和传递贸易发生的原因。接下来,我们利用2000-2006年中国工业企业数据库与海关进出口数据库,对融合了中介贸易形式的多产品出口企业的传递贸易出口模式进行全面系统地分析。具体而言,我们先通过描述性统计分析考察了中国企业进行传递贸易的特征性事实,其次,在此基础上进一步采用面板回归模型检验传递贸易企业是否存在“生产率溢价”和“利润率溢价”,实证结果表明传递贸易企业的生产率和利润率明显高出其他企业。最后在此结论的基础上,我们分别通过Bivariate Probit模型和Heckman选择模型分析了中国企业进入国际市场的产品选择决策、出口后传递贸易产品的生存状况和产品范围的动态调整过程。我们研究发现具有较低生产率、融资渠道更为畅通和处于跨国企业全球生产和贸易网络中的业更倾向于选择POT产品进入国外市场,在选择POT产品进入国际市场后,企业的出口多元化战略(包括市场多元化和产品多元化)不仅会增强其POT产品在国外市场的生存能力,而且会加快此类产品范围的动态调整过程。我们在研究过程中,融入企业异质性理论,从企业核心能力视角对多产品出口企业进行传递贸易的原因机理进行了理论诠释,揭示出企业通过进行传递贸易有效解决其在出口产品多元化战略和发挥核心能力优势之间的两难冲突这一核心思想。在论文的最后,结合当前中国出口实际,我们从企业和政府角度揭示了上述结论背后的政策含义。
[Abstract]:China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) is a booster to promote the development of China's foreign trade. In just 13 years, China's total foreign trade has exceeded 4 trillion US dollars and become the largest trading country in the world.As the "made in China" label spreads around the world, it becomes more difficult to further expand and stabilize international market share: in the face of an international market in which the renminbi is rising and trade frictions are intensifying,The comparative advantage established by Chinese enterprises on the basis of low cost is gradually disappearing, resulting in the deterioration of the terms of trade. Therefore, it is very difficult to solve the problem that China's exports are facing a slow recovery in external demand and that the international market share is further enhanced.Many difficulties, such as the deterioration of terms of trade, are needed to solve this dilemma and to realize the strategic goal of "steady growth and structural adjustment" of exports.For this reason, this paper first introduces the example of transfer trade, introduces the concept of pass-on trade and the reasons for the occurrence of transit trade.Next, we use the database of China's industrial enterprises and the import and export database of customs from 2000 to 2006 to make a comprehensive and systematic analysis of the transfer trade export mode of multi-product export enterprises which combines the form of intermediary trade.In particular, we first examine the characteristic facts of Chinese enterprises' transfer trade through descriptive statistical analysis. Secondly,On this basis, the panel regression model is further used to test whether there are "productivity premium" and "profit margin premium" in transition-trading firms. The empirical results show that the productivity and profit margin of transition-trading firms are significantly higher than those of other firms.Finally, on the basis of this conclusion, we analyze the product selection decision of Chinese enterprises entering the international market through Bivariate Probit model and Heckman selection model, and analyze the survival status and the dynamic adjustment process of the product range after export.We find that the industries with lower productivity, more open financing channels and in the global production and trade network of multinational enterprises tend to choose POT products to enter the foreign market. After choosing POT products to enter the international market,The export diversification strategy (including market diversification and product diversification) will not only enhance the viability of POT products in foreign markets, but also accelerate the dynamic adjustment process of the scope of such products.In the course of the research, we combine the theory of enterprise heterogeneity and explain the reason mechanism of multi-product export enterprises' transfer trade from the angle of enterprise core competence.It is revealed that enterprises can effectively solve the dilemma between the diversification strategy of export products and the advantages of core competence by conducting transfer trade.At the end of the paper, we reveal the policy implications of the above conclusions from the angle of enterprise and government.
【学位授予单位】：大连理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.62

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