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中国金融服务贸易政策的政治经济学分析

发布时间:2018-08-04 18:22
【摘要】:在《金融服务贸易协议》框架下WTO成员国之间不断深化金融服务开放,金融服务贸易自由化是世界经济的大势所趋。入世过渡期结束后的近十年时间里,我国全面兑现金融服务业的入世承诺,在审慎监管的框架下,对外资金融机构实施国民待遇。但对于发展中国家而言,金融领域自由化的风险不容轻视,近几十年来,许多国家都进行了金融改革,开放金融服务业,其方式和结果都大相径庭。面对金融服务业自由化可能带来的挑战和机遇,解释中国金融贸易政策的制定过程,分析影响贸易政策的因素具有理论和现实意义。本文基于政治经济学的视角,将贸易政策作为一种“内生”于政治博弈过程中的公共物品,考虑其中政府的目标、利益集团和社会的价值观等现实因素,更加贴近现实中的政策决策过程。借鉴贸易政策的政治经济学模型来分析我国金融服务贸易政策决策的过程,对影响金融服务贸易政策三个方面的因素,包括国家目标和利益、国内利益集团和国际服务贸易环境及双边关系进行了分析。使用中国2002—2013年的相关数据实证检验影响中国金融服务贸易开放的因素。实证结果表明:在国家目标和权威上,金融服务贸易开放度与金融业对国内生产总值增长的拉动率呈正相关,符合国家对经济拉动作用较大的行业采取鼓励开放政策的一般态度。在行业利益影响上,政府对银行业持较为开放的态度,鼓励外资银行在华发展;而对于竞争力较弱的证券业则赋予一定保护倾向。
[Abstract]:Under the framework of "Agreement on Financial Services Trade", the liberalization of financial services trade is the trend of the world economy. In the past ten years after the transitional period of China's entry into WTO, our country has fully fulfilled the promise of joining the WTO of the financial services industry and implemented the national treatment of foreign financial institutions under the framework of prudent supervision. But for developing countries, the risk of financial liberalization should not be underestimated. In recent decades, many countries have carried out financial reform and opened up financial services in different ways and results. In the face of the challenges and opportunities that the liberalization of financial service industry may bring, it is of theoretical and practical significance to explain the making process of China's financial and trade policy and to analyze the factors affecting trade policy. Based on the perspective of political economy, this paper regards trade policy as a kind of "endogenous" public goods in the process of political game, and considers the realistic factors, such as the goal of the government, the values of interest groups and society, and so on. More close to the reality of the policy decision-making process. Based on the political economic model of trade policy, this paper analyzes the policy decision-making process of China's financial services trade policy, and analyzes the factors affecting the policy of financial services trade policy, including the national objectives and interests. Domestic interest groups and international service trade environment and bilateral relations were analyzed. Using the relevant data from 2002-2013, this paper empirically tests the factors that influence the opening of China's financial services trade. The empirical results show that there is a positive correlation between the openness of financial services trade and the pull rate of financial industry on GDP growth in terms of national objectives and authority. In line with the general attitude of the state to encourage the opening up of industries that play a greater role in stimulating the economy. In terms of the influence of industry interests, the government is more open to the banking industry, encouraging foreign banks to develop in China, while giving a certain protective tendency to the securities industry with weak competitiveness.
【学位授予单位】:中南民族大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F832.2;F752.68


本文编号:2164718

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