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老挝对外贸易发展的不平衡性及其成因分析

发布时间:2019-06-06 07:49
【摘要】:所谓贸易差额是指一定时期内(通常指一年)一国货物和服务出口和进口的差额。贸易差额指标既能反映一国的产业结构、生产力发展水平等状况,又能反映一国的在国际贸易中的竞争力状况,是对外贸易发展的晴雨表。革新开放后后老挝国民经济取得了长足发展,尤其是在同东盟成国之间的贸易合作中获得了大量的外资,并且在关税税率方面相互让步,促使老挝的对外贸易规模、结构、方式等各个方面发生了根本性变化。但长期以来,老挝对外贸易中存在着贸易不平衡的问题。 本文研究了老挝对外贸易发展中的不平衡性问题,重点研究了贸易逆差的成因,并提出了相应的对策与建议。第一部分是绪论部分,主要阐述了本文的研究背景、意义、当前关于老挝对外贸易的研究综述、主要研究内容、研究方法;第二部分主要阐述了贸易不平衡理论及政策主张,综述了有关贸易不平衡的相关文献。第三部分分析了老挝的对外贸易现状,分别以革新开放、加入东盟、加入世界贸易组织为时间点分阶段分析了老挝对外贸易现状,并从贸易总量、产品结构、国别结构、技术结构分析了老挝当前的对外贸易现状。第四部分为本文的实证部分,选取了对外贸易增长速度、对外贸易竞争力、对外贸易开放程度、经济发展水平四个变量作为解释变量,通过实证验证了了老挝对外贸易逆差的影响因素;第六部分结合实证结果以及现状分析提出了改善老挝对外贸易的对策。
[Abstract]:The so-called trade balance refers to the difference in the export and import of goods and services from a country over a certain period of time (usually one year). The trade balance index can not only reflect a country's industrial structure, productivity development level, but also reflect a country's competitiveness in international trade. It is a barometer of foreign trade development. After the reform and opening up, the Lao national economy has made great progress, especially in the trade cooperation with ASEAN countries, and has made concessions to each other in terms of tariff rates, thus promoting the scale and structure of Laos's foreign trade. Fundamental changes have taken place in all aspects, such as ways. However, for a long time, there is a trade imbalance in Lao foreign trade. This paper studies the imbalance in the development of Lao foreign trade, focuses on the causes of the trade deficit, and puts forward some corresponding countermeasures and suggestions. The first part is the introduction, which mainly expounds the research background and significance of this paper, the current research review on Lao foreign trade, the main research content and research methods. The second part mainly expounds the theory and policy proposition of trade imbalance, and summarizes the relevant literature on trade imbalance. The third part analyzes the current situation of Laos' foreign trade, analyzes the current situation of Laos' foreign trade in stages by innovation and opening up, joining ASEAN and joining the World Trade Organization (WTO), and analyzes the current situation of Laos' foreign trade in stages from the aspects of total trade volume, product structure and country structure. The technical structure analyzes the current situation of foreign trade in Laos. The fourth part is the empirical part of this paper, which selects four variables: the growth rate of foreign trade, the competitiveness of foreign trade, the degree of openness of foreign trade and the level of economic development as explanatory variables. Through empirical verification, the influencing factors of Lao foreign trade deficit are verified. The sixth part puts forward the countermeasures to improve Lao foreign trade based on the empirical results and the analysis of the present situation.
【学位授予单位】:云南大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F753.34

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