重构宏观经济危机“软着陆”的乡土基础

发布时间：2017-12-27 13:09

本文关键词：重构宏观经济危机“软着陆”的乡土基础　出处：《探索与争鸣》2016年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：过去承载"城市资本池"危机代价的条件,主要是乡土社会"内部化处置外部性风险"的村社理性机制。这个机制一旦被短期激进城市化所破坏,就很难有软着陆的条件。因此,若要防止当期宏观经济危机的硬着陆,则新的软着陆的可能性就不仅在于国家信用扩张做逆周期调节,更在于重构"软着陆"基础,即主要用于县域经济战略下的城镇化基本建设投资。若以国家投资作为城镇化的"无风险资产",则可通过中小企业落户城镇,更多吸纳外出农民返乡就业,构建新的"外部性风险内部化处置"的软着陆机制。
[Abstract]:In the past, the condition of carrying the "city capital pool" crisis cost is mainly the village social rational mechanism of "Internal Disposal of external risk" in the local society. Once the mechanism is destroyed by short-term radical urbanization, it is difficult to have a soft landing condition. Therefore, if we want to prevent the hard landing of the current macro-economic crisis, the possibility of the new soft landing is not only based on the expansion of the national credit, but also on the basis of reconstructing the soft landing. If the state investment is taken as the "risk-free asset" of urbanization, it can be absorbed by the small and medium-sized enterprises in the towns, and more farmers will be able to return home for employment, so as to build a new soft landing mechanism of "external risk internalization".
【作者单位】：中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院;福建农林大学海峡乡村建设学院;西南大学中国乡村建设学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“作为国家综合安全基础的乡村治理结构与机制研究”(14ZDA064)
【分类号】：F123.16
【正文快照】： 问题与背景:去工业化强趋势致使劳资矛盾进入“阶级式对抗”性质的冲突多发期自2008年全球金融危机以来,美国先后进行4轮量化宽松向全球市场释放巨大流动性,导致国际市场上基础商品价格大幅波动,类似中国的制造业国家纷纷遭遇“输入型危机”,而国际制成品市场总体表现萧条,价

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