经济动态效率与我国最优消费率:1992～2013

发布时间：2018-01-02 07:18

本文关键词：经济动态效率与我国最优消费率:1992～2013　出处：《云南财经大学学报》2016年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：将经济实现黄金律增长时对应的消费率界定为最优消费率,则经济动态效率为判断现实经济消费率与最优消费率之间的关系提供了一种思路:当经济处于动态无效状态时,现实经济的消费率低于最优消费率;当经济处于动态有效状态时,现实经济的消费率高于最优消费率。运用1992~2013年中国经济相关数据进行实证分析,结果显示:1992~2007年和2011~2012年中国经济动态有效,最终消费率高于最优消费率;2008~2010年和2013年经济呈动态无效,最终消费率低于最优消费率;1992~2013年期间中国的最优消费率大致为55%。最后给出了提高中国最终消费率的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The corresponding consumption rate is defined as the optimal consumption rate when the economy achieves the gold law growth. Then the economic dynamic efficiency provides a way to judge the relationship between the real economic consumption rate and the optimal consumption rate: when the economy is in a dynamic and invalid state, the real economy consumption rate is lower than the optimal consumption rate; When the economy is in a dynamic and efficient state, the consumption rate of the real economy is higher than the optimal consumption rate. The empirical analysis is carried out by using the relevant data of Chinese economy from 1992 to 2013. The results show that the economic dynamics of China is effective from 1992 to 2007 and from 2011 to 2012, and the final consumption rate is higher than the optimal consumption rate. From 2008 to 2010 and 2013, the economy showed dynamic invalidity, and the final consumption rate was lower than the optimal consumption rate. In the period from 1992 to 2013, the optimal consumption rate in China is about 55. Finally, some policy suggestions are given to improve the final consumption rate in China.
【作者单位】：云南大学发展研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“最优消费率与我国经济稳定增长研究”(12CJY074)
【分类号】：F224;F126.1;F124
【正文快照】： 一、引言当前,在我国经济进入新常态与投资效率逐年下降的形势下,确认我国经济动态效率情况及资本积累是否过度,进而导致我国消费不足,最终消费率远低于世界平均水平和中等收入国家水平,是关乎现阶段我国宏观经济政策走向的重大政策问题,也是当前保持我国经济稳定增长应回答的

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