中国城市收缩的背景、识别与特征分析

发布时间：2018-03-15 19:49

  本文选题：城市收缩　切入点：人口流失　出处：《东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2016年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：城市增长和城市收缩是一枚银币的两面,以人口流失为核心特征的城市收缩现象在中国普遍存在。本文利用两次人口普查数据,从地级及以上行政单元和县市(区)两种空间尺度,识别中国的城市收缩格局,分别从人口结构、经济结构和社会状况三个维度考察收缩县市(区)的发展状态。两次普查年间频繁的区划调整将对本文的识别结果产生重大影响,利用乡、镇、街道数据,对2865个县市(区)中涉及到行政区划变动的样本进行调整。结论显示,中国26.71%地级及以上行政单元、37.16%县市(区)发生收缩,以中国东北地区和长江经济带的收缩最为严重,且集中出现了"市区—市辖区"双收缩的现象。通过分析,与非收缩县市(区)相比,收缩县市(区)经济社会发展水平较低,集中体现为:较高的人口抚养比、单一的行业结构、较低的城市化率,以及较低的人力资本存量。
[Abstract]:Urban growth and urban contraction are two sides of a silver coin. The phenomenon of urban contraction, characterized by population loss, is common in China. From the two spatial scales of administrative units at and above the prefectural level and counties and cities (districts), the pattern of urban contraction in China is identified, respectively, from the population structure. The three dimensions of economic structure and social condition are to investigate the development state of shrinking counties (districts). The frequent regionalization adjustment during the two census years will have a significant impact on the identification results of this paper, using township, town and street data, The sample of 2865 counties (districts) involved in the change of administrative divisions was adjusted. The conclusion shows that 37.16% of the administrative units of 26.71% prefectures and above in China have contracted, especially in Northeast China and the Yangtze River economic belt. Through analysis, compared with non-contractile counties (districts), the level of economic and social development of contractile counties (districts) is relatively low, which is reflected in: higher population dependency ratio. Single industry structure, low urbanization rate, and low stock of human capital.
【作者单位】： 上海财经大学财经研究所;上海财经大学国际工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“新型城镇化背景下城市边界调整与城市综合承载力提升路径研究”(14ZDB138) 国家自然科学基金项目(71473160) 上海财经大学研究生创新计划项目科研创新基金(CXJJ-2015-341)与上海财经大学创新团队支持计划阶段性成果
【分类号】：F299.2
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本文编号：1616552