碳排放约束下湖南省全要素能源效率及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-03-21 15:16

本文选题：碳排放　切入点：全要素能源效率　出处：《南华大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：湖南正处于新型工业化和城镇化发展的关键时期,能源消费和温室气体排放需求日益增强,由此引发了严峻的环境压力,面对经济可持续发展中的能源需求和环境污染双重压力,提高能源效率、推进低碳发展是解决问题的关键。因此在当前湖南省“两型社会”建设和节能减排背景下,对考虑碳排放约束的能源效率问题进行研究具有重要的现实意义。本文将能源投入的非期望产出(CO2)纳入全要生能源效率测度模型,对2005-2012年湖南省全要素能源效率进行研究,并对能源效率的影响因素进行实证分析,并为湖南省提高能源效率提出相应的政策建议。研究表明,样本期内湖南省总体全要素能源效率水平较低,仅为0.660,说明湖南省粗放式经济发展方式依然存在,能源效率节能减排空间很大,但样本期内全省能源效率逐步提升。而区域间全要素能源效率差异明显,其中张家界市的能源效率值最高,达到0.926,紧随其后的常德市、长沙市分别位列第二和第三,而娄底市能源效率最低,仅为0.350。从省内的大经济区域来看,长株潭地区的全要素能源效率在2008年后有了很大程度的提升,这很大程度上归功于该地区在2008年被批准成为“两型社会”试验区后,采取了一系列节能减排的措施,促进了能源效率的提高。同时对各地区的节能减排潜力进行了分析,娄底市、湘潭市、岳阳市、郴州市和株洲市是湖南省的“节能大户”,是节能的重点整治区域,娄底市、湘潭市和郴州市减排潜力最大,且均超过80%,CO2减排具有巨大的改进空间。而从地区分布情况来看,大湘南地区能源效率相对较低,节能减排潜力大,总可节约能源占全省42%,总可减排CO2占全省55%,湘南地区成为湖南省节能减排的重点地区。全要素能源效率影响因素分析模型的结果显示:产业结构、对外开放和技术进步对湖南能源效率具有显著的负向影响,而经济规模、信息化程度和城镇化水平在一定显著性水平下对湖南能源效率具有正向影响。最后,结合上述实证研究结果,并结合湖南省建设“两型社会”背景提出能源效率提升策略。
[Abstract]:Hunan is in a critical period of development of industrialization and urbanization, energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions growing demand, resulting in severe environmental pressures, facing the double pressure of energy demand and environmental pollution in the sustainable economic development, improve energy efficiency, promote low-carbon development is the key to solve the problem. So in the current Hunan Province "two type society" construction and energy saving and emission reduction under the background, the research has important practical significance to consider the energy efficiency of carbon emission constraints. The non expected output energy (CO2) into the total energy efficiency measure model, studied 2005-2012 years in Hunan province the total factor energy efficiency, and influence the energy efficiency of the empirical analysis of the factors, and put forward the corresponding policy suggestions for Hunan province to improve energy efficiency. The results show that the sample period in Hunan province to total body In the level of energy efficiency is relatively low, only 0.660, Hunan province shows the extensive mode of economic development still exists, the space of energy saving and emission reduction energy efficiency greatly, but during the sample period, the province's energy efficiency increased gradually. The total factor energy efficiency differences among regions, including Zhangjiajie city's energy efficiency was the highest, reached 0.926, followed by Changde City, Changsha city were ranked second and third, and Loudi's energy efficiency is the lowest, only 0.350. from the big economic regions of the province of Changzhutan regional total factor energy efficiency has been greatly improved after 2008, due largely to the area in 2008 was approved as "type two" society pilot area, has taken a series of measures to promote energy conservation, improve energy efficiency. At the same time, energy saving and emission reduction potential of each area were analyzed in Loudi City, Xiangtan City, Yueyang City, Chenzhou The city and Zhuzhou city of Hunan province is the "energy major" is the focus of remediation areas, energy saving of Loudi City, the largest city of Xiangtan and the city of Chenzhou and the emission reduction potential, more than 80%, CO2 emission reduction has a huge room for improvement. From the regional distribution point of view, in the area of energy efficiency is relatively low, energy saving the reduction potential and total energy saving accounts for 42% of the province, the total emissions of CO2 accounts for 55% of the province, southern area of Hunan province has become the focus of energy saving and emission reduction. Influence factors of total factor energy efficiency analysis model showed that the industrial structure, opening and technological progress on energy efficiency in Hunan has a significant negative impact, and economic the scale, the degree of information technology and the level of urbanization has a positive impact on Hunan's energy efficiency in some significant levels. Finally, combining the results of empirical research, combined with the construction of Hunan province "two type society" background Energy efficiency promotion strategy.

【学位授予单位】：南华大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F206

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