资源型城市中心城区周边煤炭资源合理开发规模研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 07:40

本文选题：资源型城市 + 煤炭资源　；参考：《中国矿业大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：资源型城市因资源开发而兴起,但过去不平衡、不协调的粗放增长模式影响了城市的可持续发展。资源性城市实现可持续发展,必须转型发展,改善经济发展结构,合理有序开发资源。济宁市是典型的煤炭资源型城市,煤炭资源的开发利用为城市经济增长和社会进步提供了有力支撑。同时也带来土地塌陷、环境污染、煤炭开发与城镇化发展矛盾等一系列问题,尤其是中心城区及周边区域的矛盾日益突出。为促进济宁市转型发展,实现城市可持续发展,合理协调中心城区周边煤炭资源的开发规模,妥善解决城镇化建设与煤炭资源开发的矛盾已成为焦点问题之一。本研究以济宁市中心城区与周边煤矿的合集区域为研究对象,以可持续发展理论、资源经济学理论、系统理论为理论基础,以系统动力学、情景模拟和多目标规划为主要方法,系统研究确定中心城区周边煤炭资源的合理开发规模。首先,根据区域当前实际情况,综合分析区域煤炭资源开发、生态环境、经济社会之间的相互影响;据此建立SD模型,对区域煤炭资源开发规模进行系统分析;然后,按照不同的区域发展模式,对区域煤炭资源开发规模进行情景模拟分析,得到相关指标的阈值范围;通过SD模型灵敏度分析,识别敏感因素,并作为决策变量;建立多目标规划模型进行优化决策分析,得到中心城区周边煤炭资源合理开发规模;最后将优化结果再输入SD模型,进行优化前后仿真结果对比分析;依据各煤矿的设计生产能力配置预测的煤炭资源合理开发规模,为合理开发中心城区周边煤炭资源提供决策支持。在区域煤炭资源合理开发规模研究分析的基础上,本研究从合理开发煤炭资源,推进新型城镇化建设;推动产业转型,增强资源型城市经济活力;加强政府引导作用,提高环保投入与监管力度三个方面提出政策建议,以期能为资源型城市合理开发中心城区周边煤炭资源提供政策支持,推动资源型城市可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Resource-based cities are rising because of resource development, but in the past, the unbalanced and uncoordinated growth pattern has influenced the sustainable development of the city. The sustainable development of the resource-based cities must be transformed, the economic development structure and the rational and orderly development of resources are necessary. Jining is a canonical coal resource-based city and the exploitation and utilization of coal resources It provides a strong support for urban economic growth and social progress. It also brings about a series of problems, such as land collapse, environmental pollution, the contradiction between coal development and urbanization, especially the contradictions between the central urban area and the surrounding areas. In order to promote the transformation and development of Jining, the sustainable development of the city and the rational coordination of the central urban week are also made. The contradiction between the development scale of coal resources and the proper solution of the contradiction between urbanization and coal resources development has become one of the focal problems. This study takes the integration area of Jining city center and surrounding coal mine as the research object, taking the theory of sustainable development, the theory of resource economics and the theory of system as the theoretical basis, system dynamics and scenario model. The proposed and multi-objective programming is the main method to systematically study the rational development scale of coal resources around the central urban area. Firstly, according to the current actual situation in the region, the interaction between the development of regional coal resources, the ecological environment and the economic society are synthetically analyzed. Based on this, the SD model is established to systematically divide the scale of the development of the regional coal resources. And then, according to the different regional development model, the situation of regional coal resources development is simulated and analyzed, and the threshold range of the related indexes is obtained. Through the sensitivity analysis of SD model, the sensitive factors are identified and the decision variables are identified. The multi-objective programming model is established to make the optimal decision analysis, and the coal resources around the central urban area are obtained. In the end, the optimization results are put into the SD model, and the simulation results are compared and analyzed before and after the optimization. According to the rational development scale of coal resources based on the design and production capacity of each coal mine, the decision support is provided for the rational development of the coal resources around the central urban area. On the basis of this, this study will provide policy suggestions on three aspects, namely, the rational development of coal resources, the promotion of new urbanization, the promotion of industrial transformation, the enhancement of the economic vitality of the resource-based cities, the strengthening of government guiding role and the improvement of environmental investment and supervision, in order to provide policy for the rational development of coal resources around the central city of the resource type city. Support and promote the sustainable development of resource-based cities.

【学位授予单位】：中国矿业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.21;F299.2;N941.3

【参考文献】