基于省域面板数据的中国城镇化与土地集约利用动态关系研究

发布时间：2018-05-03 22:31

本文选题：土地集约利用 + 城镇化　；参考：《江淮论坛》2016年03期

【摘要】：以2000—2014年省域面板数据为基础,测度了城镇化发展水平与土地集约利用水平,综合应用协整分析、因果关系检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解等动态计量经济模型,分析了两者的全面动态波动效应。研究结果表明:两者存在较稳定的长期均衡关系,存在长期单向因果关系,城镇化的推进引领土地集约利用程度持续提高,城镇化程度越高的地区长期单向因果关系越显著。城镇化的冲击对土地集约利用产生显著影响,同时,城镇化程度越高的地区冲击效应越显著;但土地集约利用对城镇化的促进作用相对较弱,城镇化程度相对高的地区促进作用也相对较大。未来政策的启示:东部地区,推进城镇化与土地集约模式应双轮齐驱,高效互动,共同推进两个系统向更高层次协调状态发展。中西部地区,坚持推进城镇化为先导,土地集约利用举措为辅,实现高效高质城镇化引领土地集约利用程度共同提升,同时,完善土地集约利用的长效机制以促进城镇化水平质量的切实提高。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2014, this paper measures the level of urbanization and intensive land use, comprehensively applies cointegration analysis, causality test, impulse response function, variance decomposition and other dynamic econometric models. The overall dynamic fluctuation effect of both is analyzed. The results show that there is a stable long-term equilibrium relationship and a long-term one-way causal relationship between them. The promotion of urbanization leads to the continuous improvement of intensive land use. The higher the degree of urbanization is, the more significant the long-term one-way causality is. The impact of urbanization has a significant impact on intensive land use, and the higher the degree of urbanization, the more significant impact effect, but the more intensive use of land on the promotion of urbanization is relatively weak, Areas with relatively high levels of urbanization also play a relatively larger role. The enlightenment of the future policy: to promote urbanization and land intensive mode in the eastern region, it is necessary to promote the development of the two systems to a higher level and coordinate with each other. In the central and western regions, the promotion of urbanization as the guide and the intensive use of land as a supplement, the realization of high efficiency and high quality urbanization leads to a common enhancement of the degree of intensive land use, and at the same time, Improve the long-term mechanism of intensive use of land to promote the quality of urbanization.
【作者单位】：安徽农业大学;安徽建筑大学法政学院;
【基金】：国家自然基金“越冬珍稀鹤类地理分布对自然湿地土地利用变化的响应机制”(41571101) 农业部软科技项目“城市化快速进程中农村宅基地退出补偿机制研究” 安徽省国土资源科技项目“安徽经济发展与城市土地集约利用协调研究”(2011-k-25)
【分类号】：F299.21;F301.2;F224

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