城市化与能源利用效率的相关性研究

发布时间：2018-07-16 13:49

【摘要】：本文运用向量自回归模型,静态面板模型和动态面板模型,利用2000年至2013年的时间序列数据和省际面板数据,研究了城市化与能源利用效率之间的关系。向量自回归模型主要研究全国水平的城市化与能源利用效率之间的联动性响应关系。运用了平稳性检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果关系、脉冲响应函数和方差分解等方法。研究结果表明:我国城市化会和能源利用效率之间存在长期平稳的均衡关系,以及城市化会导致能源利用效率的降低。面板模型中,结合了静态面板模型和动态面板模型,运用了单位根检验、Kao协整检验、Hausman检验、GMM估计等方法。研究结果表明:我国还处于城市化进程导致能源使用效率降低的初步发展阶段。经济发展水平会提高能源使用效率。工业发展会降低能源使用效率,因此产业结构需要调整。技术进步能促进能源利用效率的提高,所以技术创新和采用新能源节能技术势在必行。但是在不同的区域,它们之间的影响强度是不同的,对于经济发达的东部地区,应该弱化经济发展水平对能源效率的影响,重视技术进步和产业结构对能源效率的影响;对于欠发达的中部地区,我们应该协调好经济发展、产业结构、技术进步与能源效率之间的发展关系;对于经济不发达的西部地区,应该弱化技术进步和产业结构对能源效率的影响,重视经济发展对能源效率的影响。
[Abstract]:Using vector autoregressive model, static panel model and dynamic panel model, using time series data and provincial panel data from 2000 to 2013, the relationship between urbanization and energy efficiency is studied in this paper. The vector autoregressive model mainly studies the relationship between urbanization and energy efficiency at the national level. The stationary test, cointegration test, Granger causality, impulse response function and variance decomposition are used. The results show that there is a stable equilibrium relationship between urbanization and energy use efficiency in China, and urbanization will lead to the reduction of energy use efficiency. In the panel model, the static panel model and the dynamic panel model are combined, and the unit root test Kao cointegration test and Hausman test are used to estimate the GMM. The results show that China is still in the initial stage of energy efficiency reduction due to the urbanization process. The level of economic development will improve the efficiency of energy use. Industrial development will reduce the efficiency of energy use, so the industrial structure needs to be adjusted. Technological progress can promote the efficiency of energy use, so technological innovation and the adoption of new energy saving technology are imperative. However, in different regions, the influence intensity between them is different. For the eastern region with developed economy, the influence of economic development level on energy efficiency should be weakened, and the influence of technological progress and industrial structure on energy efficiency should be emphasized. For the underdeveloped central region, we should coordinate the development relationship among economic development, industrial structure, technological progress and energy efficiency; for the underdeveloped western region, The influence of technological progress and industrial structure on energy efficiency should be weakened and the influence of economic development on energy efficiency should be emphasized.
【学位授予单位】：武汉科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F224;F299.2;F426.2

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