基于Crystal Ball的投标报价测算
发布时间：2018-09-09 09:37
【摘要】：基于工程量清单计价模式存在工程量计算没有考虑风险因素的缺陷,提出在计算工程量时适度加入风险因素,通过利用水晶球软件拟合工程量风险变量的概率分布情况,得到对应的概率分布类型,运用蒙特卡罗模拟法预测分析投标报价风险,最终得到准确的投标报价结果。
[Abstract]:Based on the fact that the bill of quantities valuation model has the defect of not considering the risk factors in the calculation of engineering quantity, it is put forward that appropriate risk factors are added to the calculation of engineering quantities, and the probability distribution of engineering quantity risk variables is fitted by using crystal ball software. The corresponding probability distribution types are obtained, and the risk of bidding price is predicted and analyzed by Monte Carlo simulation method, and the accurate bidding results are obtained.
【作者单位】： 江西应用科技学院;
【分类号】：F284
，
本文编号：2232004
[Abstract]:Based on the fact that the bill of quantities valuation model has the defect of not considering the risk factors in the calculation of engineering quantity, it is put forward that appropriate risk factors are added to the calculation of engineering quantities, and the probability distribution of engineering quantity risk variables is fitted by using crystal ball software. The corresponding probability distribution types are obtained, and the risk of bidding price is predicted and analyzed by Monte Carlo simulation method, and the accurate bidding results are obtained.
【作者单位】： 江西应用科技学院;
【分类号】：F284
，
本文编号：2232004
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/hongguanjingjilunwen/2232004.html
