中国城镇化、经济发展与制度变迁——基于跨国面板数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-10-17 17:32

【摘要】：文章利用1990—2013年128个样本国家的跨国面板数据对中国城镇化和经济发展的关系在钱纳里模型的基础上进行实证研究。结果表明,1990年以来中国的城镇化和经济发展的关系基本符合国家一般规律,相较于国际一般的城镇化与经济发展路径,中国的城镇化水平与经济发展水平相比略显滞后。通过对固定效应模型个体效应的分析表明,中国的城镇化滞后主要是由阻碍城镇化发展的制度安排所导致,且这种制度障碍呈现不断减弱的趋势。因此,要使中国的城镇化走健康可持续发展的道路,必须在加强经济发展的同时,对政府的政策制度安排进行不断变革。
[Abstract]:This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between urbanization and economic development in China on the basis of Chenari model by using cross-country panel data from 128 sample countries from 1990 to 2013. The results show that the relationship between urbanization and economic development in China since 1990 basically accords with the general law of the country. Compared with the international urbanization and economic development path, the level of urbanization in China is slightly lagging behind the level of economic development. The analysis of the individual effect of the fixed effect model shows that the lag of urbanization in China is mainly caused by the institutional arrangement which hinders the development of urbanization, and this institutional obstacle shows a trend of weakening. Therefore, in order to make China's urbanization take the path of healthy and sustainable development, it is necessary to strengthen the economic development and make continuous changes in the government's policy and institutional arrangements.
【作者单位】：山西财经大学;中国人民大学;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“十三五时期我国发展环境、发展趋势和战略思路研究”(14ZDA022)阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：F299.2;F124;F224

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