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国际市场中埃及橘子的贸易模式分析

发布时间:2022-12-17 12:59
  农业出口在埃及总出口中占很大的比重,2000至2009年期间,年均农业出口产值达16亿美元,而同期埃及出口总额为118亿美元。 由于橘子是一项重要的埃及出口农产品,所以了解橘子国际贸易模式与影响因素十分重要,这有助于设计并实行合理的国家与公司的政策与战略以提高贸易水平,尤其是对推动埃及农业出口大有裨益。 本文的意义在于开发分析埃及橘子出口竞争力分析的框架,并探索埃及橘子出口供给与进口需求的较为全面的模型。 本文有三个主要的成果。首先,解析了埃及橘子国际贸易模式的量与价值。其次,探讨了埃及橘子出口的主要影响因素。最后,本文总结了最大化埃及橘子出口收益的理论框架及方法。 本文旨在分析埃及橘子出口。将阐述橘子在世界市场中的现状,尤其是在埃及市场以及区域分布和市场份额。进一步论述埃及橘子的出口优势。本文还试图找到最大化橘子出口价值的其他方法。 结果表明埃及的橘子产量在非洲占第一位。从贸易的角度说,埃及的橘子出口占非洲第三位。埃及橘子的主要输入国是阿拉伯国家、欧洲以及APEC。在阿拉伯国家,沙特阿拉伯是主要的进口国,在欧洲为英国。在APEC为俄罗斯。 ... 

【文章页数】:198 页

【学位级别】:博士

【文章目录】:
摘要
ABSTRACT
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Overview
    1.2 Problem Statement
    1.3 Objectives and Significance of the Thesis
        1.3.1 Thesis Objectives
        1.3.2 Significance and Contribution of the Thesis
    1.4 Methodology
    1.5 Data Sources
    1.6 Thesis Structure
CHAPTER 2: THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK AND LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 Introduction
    2.2 Theoretical Framework of the Competitiveness and Competitive Position Concepts
        2.2.1 Concept of Competitiveness
        2.2.2 Elements of Competitiveness
        2.2.3 Competitiveness Indicators
            2.2.3.1 Market Share Index
            2.2.3.2 Export Strength
            2.2.3.3 Market Penetration Index
            2.2.3.4 Export Dependence Index
            2.2.3.5 Export Stability
            2.2.3.6 Price Competitiveness
            2.2.3.7 Production Competitiveness
        2.2.4 Determinants of Competitive Position
            2.2.4.1 Relative Export Price
            2.2.4.2 Production Stability
            2.2.4.3 Export Efficiency
    2.3 Literature Review of the Previous Studies
        2.3.1 Review of Literature in Global Perspectives
        2.3.2 Review of Literature in Egypt Perspectives
CHAPTER 3: THE CURRENT SITUATION OF ORANGES ALL OVER THE WORLD
    3.1 Introduction
    3.2 Orange’s Global Area
        3.2.1 Orange’s Cultivated Area by Continents
        3.2.2 Orange’s Cultivated Area by World Countries
    3.3 Orange’s Global Production
        3.3.1 Orange’s Production by Continents
        3.3.2 Orange’s Production by World Countries
    3.4 Orange’s Global Exports
        3.4.1 Export Quantities of Orange by Continents
        3.4.2 Export Quantities of Orange by World Countries
        3.4.3 Export Values of Orange by Continents
        3.4.4 Export Values of Orange by World Countries
    3.5 Orange’s Global Imports
        3.5.1 Imported Quantity of Orange by Continents
        3.5.2 Imported Quantity of Orange by World Countries
        3.5.3 Imports Value of Orange by Continents
        3.5.4 Import Values of Orange by World Countries
    3.6 Egypt’s Orange Exports in the Global Market
        3.6.1 Development of Egypt’s Orange Exports Volume
        3.6.2 Development of Egypt’s Orange Exports Value
        3.6.3 The Geographical Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports
            3.6.3.1 Arab Countries
            3.6.3.2 EU Countries
            3.6.3.3 APEC Countries
            3.6.3.4 Other Countries
CHAPTER 4: COMPETITIVENESS AND COMPETITVE POSITION OF EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS (EOE)
    4.1 Introduction
    4.2 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports in Saudi Arabia
        4.2.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports in Saudi Arabia
            4.2.1.1 Price Competitiveness
            4.2.1.2 Production Competitiveness
            4.2.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)
            4.2.1.4 Market Share Index (MSI)
                4.2.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)
                4.2.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)
            4.2.1.5 Export Growth Rate
            4.2.1.6 Export Stability
            4.2.1.7 Export Strength
            4.2.1.8 Export Dependence Index
        4.2.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for Egypt’s Orange Exports at Saudi Arabia
            4.2.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position
                4.2.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index
                4.2.2.1.2 Production Stability Index
                4.2.2.1.3 Export Efficiency Index
            4.2.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position’s on EOE at Saudi Arabia
                4.2.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa
                4.2.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Lebanon
                4.2.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Turkey
                4.2.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Syria
                4.2.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco
                4.2.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Zimbabwe
    4.3 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports at UK
        4.3.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports at UK
            4.3.1.1 Price competitiveness
            4.3.1.2 Production Competitiveness
            4.3.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)
            4.3.1.4 Export Market Share Index
                4.3.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)
                4.3.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)
            4.3.1.5 Export Growth Rate
            4.3.1.6 Export Stability
            4.3.1.7 Export Strength
            4.3.1.8 Export Dependence Index
        4.3.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for EOE at UK Market
            4.3.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position
                4.3.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index
                4.3.2.1.2 Production Stability Index
                4.3.2.1.3 Export Efficiency index
            4.3.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position (CP) on EOE at UK Market
                4.3.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco
                4.3.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa
                4.3.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Israel
                4.3.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Uruguay
                4.3.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Cyprus
                4.3.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Argentina
                4.3.2.2.7 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Spain
                4.3.2.2.8 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Brazil
    4.4 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports at Russia
        4.4.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports at Russia
            4.4.1.1 Price Competitiveness
            4.4.1.2 Production Competitiveness
            4.4.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)
            4.4.1.4 Export Market Share Index
                4.4.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)
                4.4.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)
            4.4.1.5 Export Growth Rate
            4.4.1.6 Export Stability
            4.4.1.7 Export Strength
            4.4.1.8 Export Dependence Index
        4.4.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for EOE at Russian Market
            4.4.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position
                4.4.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index
                4.4.2.1.2 Production Stability Index
                4.4.2.1.3 Export Efficiency index
            4.4.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position on EOE at Russian market
                4.4.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Greece
                4.4.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Turkey
                4.4.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Israel
                4.4.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Cyprus
                4.4.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa
                4.4.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco
                4.4.2.2.7 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Spain
                4.4.2.2.8 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Uruguay
                4.4.2.2.9 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Argentina
                4.4.2.2.10 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis China
CHAPTER 5: DETERMINANTS OF DEMANDE FOR EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET
    5.1 Introduction
    5.2 Determinants of Demand for Egyptian Orange in Saudi Arabia’s Market
        5.2.1 Economic Variables
        5.2.2 Results of Simple Regression Analysis
        5.2.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions
            5.2.3.1 Linear Form Trials
                5.2.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.2.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
            5.2.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials
                5.2.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.2.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
    5.3 Determinants of Demand for Egypt’s Orange in UK’s Market
        5.3.1 Economic Variables
        5.3.2 Result of Simple Regression Analysis
        5.3.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions
            5.3.3.1 Linear Form Trials
                5.3.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.3.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
            5.3.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials
                5.3.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.3.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
    5.4 Determinants of Demand for Egypt’s Orange in Russia’s Market
        5.4.1 Economic Variables
        5.4.2 Result of Simple Regression Analysis
        5.4.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions
            5.4.3.1 Linear Form Trials
                5.4.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.4.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
            5.4.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials
                5.4.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.4.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
CHAPTER 6: THE OPTIMAL PLANNING OF EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET
    6.1 Introduction
    6.2 Theoretical and Analytical Framework of Linear Programming (LP) Model
        6.2.1 Assumptions of LP Model
        6.2.2 Elements of LP Model
    6.3 LP Models Used in Optimal Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports
        6.3.1 Objective Function
        6.3.2 Constraints
            6.3.2.1 Logical Constraint
            6.3.2.2 Alternative Constraints
                6.3.2.2.1 The First Model
                6.3.2.2.2 The Second Model
                6.3.2.2.3 The Third Model
                6.3.2.2.4 The Fourth Model
                6.3.2.2.5 The Fifth Model
    6.4 The Current Plan and the Optimal Alternative Plans of Egypt’s Orange Exports
        6.4.1 The Current Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports
        6.4.2 The Optimal Alternative Plans for Egypt’s Orange Exports
            6.4.2.1 The First Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.2 The Second Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.3 The Third Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.4 The Fourth Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.5 The Fifth Optimal Alternative Plan
    6.5 Sensitivity Analysis of Export Price in Optimal Alternative Plans
        6.5.1 Sensitivity Analysis for the First Alternative Plan
        6.5.2 Sensitivity Analysis for the Second Alternative Plan
        6.5.3 Sensitivity Analysis for the Third Alternative Plan
        6.5.4 Sensitivity Analysis for the Fourth Alternative Plan
        6.5.5 Sensitivity Analysis for the Fifth Alternative Plan
CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    7.1 Introduction
    7.2 Development of the Study
    7.3 Conclusions
    7.4 Recommendations
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ACKNOLEDGEMENTS



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