生猪养殖规模化主体行为意愿的影响因素——基于Probit-ISM分析方法的实证研究

发布时间：2017-12-28 08:03

本文关键词：生猪养殖规模化主体行为意愿的影响因素——基于Probit-ISM分析方法的实证研究　出处：《技术经济》2015年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于山东省849家养猪场户的问卷调查资料,首先运用Probit模型确定了养猪场户养殖规模扩大意愿的影响因素,然后运用ISM解析了各影响因素直接的关联关系和层次结构。结果表明:决策者文化程度、专业化程度、横向合作程度、规模养殖态度、养猪风险敏感度、养猪前景判断、政府宣传推广和产地特征8个因素对养猪场户的养殖规模扩大意愿有显著影响;其中,产地特征和规模养殖态度是表层直接因素,养猪风险敏感度和养猪前景判断是中层间接因素,决策者文化程度、专业化程度、横向合作程度和政府宣传推广是深层根源因素。
[Abstract]:Based on the questionnaire survey data of 849 pig farms in Shandong Province, the Probit model was used to identify the influencing factors of pig farms' scale expansion intention. Then ISM was used to analyze the direct correlation and hierarchy of all the factors. The results show that the decision maker culture degree, the degree of specialization and cooperation degree, the scale of farming, pig attitude risk sensitivity and 8 factors of pig prospect judgment, government propaganda promotion characteristics and origin have significant influence on farm households, expanding the scale of farming intention; characteristics and attitude scale breeding origin is the direct surface factors. Pig pig risk sensitivity and Prospect of judgment is the middle-level indirect factors, decision makers culture degree, the degree of specialization and cooperation degree and government promotion is the root factor.
【作者单位】：山东农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：山东省现代农业产业技术体系生猪创新团队建设项目(SDAIT-06-022-10) 山东省“三农”问题软科学研究基地项目(2007RKA003)
【分类号】：F326.3;F224
【正文快照】： 策,如畜禽良种补贴、能繁母猪补贴、养殖用地和信1问题提出贷支持等,它们有力地促进了生猪养殖规模化程度中国是世界上最大的猪肉生产国。2012年全的提高。围绕国内生猪养殖规模的变化情况,相关国生猪出栏量为69789.5万头,猪肉总产量为学者已从规模养殖的优势[4-6]、发展动因[

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