内江市物流经济关系与物流体系构建研究

发布时间：2017-12-28 20:29

本文关键词：内江市物流经济关系与物流体系构建研究　出处：《西南交通大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：内江位于四川省东南部,东连重庆,西接成都,南靠自贡、宜宾、泸州,北通资阳、遂宁,是距离重庆市最近的川内地级市,是连接成渝经济区成渝双核的区域性中心城市。国家鼓励和支持物流业发展,物流对促进地方经济作用日益凸显。内江周边地市正在迅速抢滩物流市场,自贡、遂宁、资阳、泸州、宜宾等都在争夺川渝滇黔结合部的区域物流中心地位,各自依托自身的交通条件、产业基础、区位条件等相继出台了本地物流业发展规划,物流园区、物流中心也如雨后春笋般不断涌现。很明显,谁率先占领区域物流中心地位,谁就将在市场经济发展中占得先机。本文以实际项目为背景,介绍国内外物流产业发展现状,详细分析了内江市的社会经济发展状况、物流交通环境、成渝经济区位和产业状况,运用相关分析和弹性分析对内江物流产业与经济发展进行了相关性分析,得出内江市经济发展与物流产业发展的正相关性关系。采用指数平滑预测模型、ARIMA预测模型、指数预测模型和回归分析预测模型对内江市未来的物流发生量进行预测,然后对各个预测数据进行对比分析,得出最优的二项式回归分析模型预测结果。结合国内外物流节点规模计算方法,计算出内江市物流节点数量约8.48个和需求物流园区规模约为12100亩。构建了内江两区三县“二基地七中心”的物流体系。运用案例对内江市的物流节点的选址进行实证分析,基于调研和定性的方法对案例节点的选址进行需求分析、节点选取分析、节点发展思路描述。论文的研究内容对于实现内江市现代物流业合理规划具有一定的理论价值和实际指导意义。
[Abstract]:Neijiang is located in the southeast of Sichuan Province, east of Chongqing, West Chengdu, South Zigong, Yibin, Luzhou, North Ziyang, Suining, is from Chongqing city recently in Sichuan prefecture level city, is connected with the Chengdu Chongqing Economic Zone Chengdu dual core of the regional center of the city. The State encourages and supports the development of the logistics industry, and logistics plays an increasingly prominent role in promoting the local economy. Neijiang surrounding the city is quickly seize the logistics market, Zigong, Suining, Ziyang, Luzhou and Yibin are the combination of the regional logistics center in Sichuan Yunnan Guizhou status for each, relying on their traffic conditions, industrial base, geographic conditions, have issued a local development plan of logistics industry, logistics park, logistics center such as bamboo shoots after a spring rain come into being. Obviously, who takes the lead in occupying the status of the regional logistics center, who will take the lead in the development of the market economy. This thesis introduces the development status of domestic and international logistics industry, a detailed analysis of Neijiang city's social and economic development, logistics and transportation environment, Chengdu Chongqing economic location and industry situation, analysis of Neijiang logistics industry and economic development were analyzed by correlation analysis and elasticity, a positive correlation between the economic development and logistics industry the development of Neijiang city. By using the exponential smoothing model, ARIMA prediction model, exponential model and regression analysis model for the future of Neijiang city logistics forecast, and then each forecast data analysis, prediction result analysis model to obtain the optimal binomial regression. According to the calculation method of logistics node scale both at home and abroad, the number of logistics nodes in Neijiang is about 8.48 and the scale of demand logistics park is about 12100 mu. The logistics system of "two bases and seven centers" in the three counties of the two district of Neijiang is constructed. Through case study, the location of logistics nodes in Neijiang is analyzed empirically. Based on survey and qualitative method, demand analysis, node selection and node development are described. The research content of this paper has a certain theoretical value and practical guiding significance for the realization of the rational planning of modern logistics industry in Neijiang.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F259.27

【引证文献】