扎兰屯市土地利用现状分析及利用变化预测研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 18:43

本文关键词：扎兰屯市土地利用现状分析及利用变化预测研究　出处：《中南林业科技大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：扎兰屯是内蒙古呼伦贝尔的窗口城市,随着经济社会的不断发展,扎兰屯社会由以农业为经济主体的城镇向工业、农业、旅游业综合型经济主体的城市转变,土地利用情况发生了明显变化。扎兰屯市的土地利用集中体现出呼伦贝尔市的城市发展特点,同时也是内蒙古自治区城市转型对土地影响的典型案例,那么扎兰屯市土地利用现状的研究成果的应用也将更具普遍性。研究扎兰屯市土地利用现状,分析动态变化情况,总结土地利用变化规律,对未来扎兰屯市土地利用情况进行预测,可为扎兰屯市土地的科学管理、高效利用、环保功能和可持续发展提供参考。本文对扎兰屯市2013年土地利用数据统计分析,建立图表和土地利用现状评价体系,反映扎兰屯市土地利用现状。通过ArcGIS软件进行运算,对扎兰屯市1997～2012年土地利用情况进行动态分析,找出变化规律,建立土地利用类型矩阵和土地利用类型变化转移矩阵,运用马尔科夫链对扎兰屯市2022年土地利用结构类型进行预测,并与现阶段土地利用情况进行对比,分析未来扎兰屯市土地利用状况。并结合扎兰屯市土地利用现状和预测结果,针对扎兰屯市的城市特点和发展模式就土地利用、城市建设和经济发展提出相关建议。主要研究结论如下： (1)扎兰屯市现阶段的土地综合利用水平不足0.55,土地开发利用程度0.46、土地集约经营程度0.55、土地利用综合效益0.53。评价结果很低,城市用地结构需要合理规划,提高土地利用效率； (2)扎兰屯市土地利用年均变化率仅为0.02%,说明土地利用变化过程受人为影响较小,说明发展进度较慢,人们应加土地利用规划实行力度,使得扎兰屯市土地利用向理想的方向发展； (3)扎兰屯市1997年到2012年土地利用变化速度为0.28%,土地利用程度变化为0.0082,反应出扎兰屯市土地利用一直呈发展趋势,但是受人为影响较小,应加大开发利用程度； (4)预测显示扎兰屯2022年土地各类利用结构比例,园地、建设用地有较大增长外,其它用地类型所占比例与当前格局基本相似,发展较为稳定,并且符合整个内蒙古地区土地利用总体规划。针对扎兰屯市的土地利用效率低,土地利用变化速度慢这些现象,应当提高扎兰屯市用地质量,提高土地利用效率,加快改进土地利用的步伐,打造内蒙古地区用地典范城市。
[Abstract]:Zarantun is the window city of Hulun Bell in Inner Mongolia . With the development of economy and society , the land use situation in Zhulun city has changed obviously . The land use in Zarantun city reflects the characteristics of urban development in Hulunbuir city , and it is also the typical case of urban transformation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region . Based on the statistical analysis of land use data in Lantun City in 2013 , the paper establishes a chart and the land use status evaluation system , which reflects the status of land use in the city . By using the ArcGIS software , this paper forecasts the land use situation in the city from 1997 to 2012 , and makes a comparison between the land use situation and the land use situation at the present stage , and puts forward some suggestions on the land use , urban construction and economic development in the city of zangtunas . The main conclusions are as follows : ( 1 ) The comprehensive utilization level of land at the present stage is less than 0.55 , the land utilization degree is 0.46 , the land intensive operation degree is 0.55 , the comprehensive benefit of land use is 0.53 . The evaluation result is very low , the urban land structure needs to be reasonably planned , and the land use efficiency is improved ; ( 2 ) The annual rate of land use change is only 0.02 % , which indicates that the process of land use change is less influenced by man and indicates that the progress of land use is slow . ( 3 ) The land use change speed of the city from 1997 to 2012 is 0.28 % , and the land use degree is 0.0082 , which reflects the development trend of the land use in the city of Zaire , but it is less affected by man - made , so that the utilization degree should be increased ; ( 4 ) The forecast shows that the proportion of land use structure in Lantun 2022 is relatively large , and the proportion of other land types is basically similar to the current pattern , and the development is more stable and conforms to the overall land use planning of the whole Inner Mongolia . In view of the low utilization efficiency of land use and the slow speed of land use change , the land use efficiency should be improved , the use efficiency of land will be improved , the pace of land use improvement will be improved , and a model city for land use in Inner Mongolia should be built .

【学位授予单位】：中南林业科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F301.2;F224

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