“十三五”期间中国新型城镇化道路的战略重点——基于农村居民城镇化意愿的实证分析与政策建议

发布时间：2018-01-07 05:34

本文关键词：“十三五”期间中国新型城镇化道路的战略重点——基于农村居民城镇化意愿的实证分析与政策建议　出处：《城市规划》2015年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：跳出不同规模城市利弊分析的传统思路,本文通过分析农村居民的城镇化意愿及其影响因素来确定"十三五"期间的我国新型城镇化道路的战略重点。结果发现,农村居民的城市迁移偏好基本呈"哑铃形",即大部分农民倾向迁移到小城市(小城镇、县或县级市),其后是大城市,居于中间的中等城市对农民城市化吸引力最低;女性、家庭人均土地少尤其是有过外出经验的农村居民更偏好高等级城市;社会资本无论是内向还是外向均有利于农民向中等城市迁移,且有可能使得农民在大城市和小城市的选择中倾向小城市迁移;经济发展、就业机会、基础设施和对外联系等因素的区域差异是影响农村居民迁移偏好的重要原因,并且偏好中等城市的农村居民相对更重视公共服务,而偏好大城市的农村居民更注重就业机会。根据这些研究结论,最后为推进"十三五"期间国家新型城镇化建设提出了战略重点和政策建议。
[Abstract]:Jump out of the traditional ideas analysis of advantages and disadvantages of different scale city, the strategic focus by analyzing the factors of urbanization willingness of rural residents and its influence to determine the "China's new urbanization road in 13th Five-Year period. Results showed that the city migration preference of rural residents basically has a" dumbbell ", namely, the majority of farmers tend to move to a small city (small towns, counties or county-level cities), followed by the big city, middle city of city of middle peasants lowest attraction; women, family land per capita less especially had to experience the rural residents prefer a high level of social capital city; either introverted or extroverted is beneficial to farmers to migrate to the medium-sized city, and may make the farmers in the big city and small city selection tendency in small city migration; economic development, employment opportunities, regional differences in infrastructure and other factors is the impact of external links An important reason for migration of rural residents preference, preference and medium city rural residents relatively more emphasis on public service, and the preference of big city rural residents pay more attention to the employment opportunities. Based on these research results, finally to promote the "13th Five-Year" during the national new urbanization construction put forward the strategic focus and policy recommendations.

【作者单位】：华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心;教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地-华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心;华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院党委;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471139) 上海哲学社会科学规划课题(2014BCK003) 教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(11JJDZH004)
【分类号】：F299.21
【正文快照】： 1引言优先发展中小城市和小城镇,还是着重发展大城市,一直是中国城镇化发展进程中备受争议的问题,一旦在这个问题上政策导向发生偏差,将会导致大规模的资源无效配置,给未来的发展造成障碍[1~5]。20世纪80年代中央提出“严格控制大城市规模,合理发展中等城市,积极发展小城市”

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