中国房价特质性及其长效稳定机制构建

发布时间：2018-01-11 05:05

本文关键词：中国房价特质性及其长效稳定机制构建　出处：《哈尔滨商业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自1998年我国实行住房货币化制度改革以来,全国房价经历了持续上涨的过程,尤其2003年8月31日开始全面推行商业用地出让的“招、拍、挂”制度以来,我国房价呈现出加速上涨的势头。通过对我国住房货币化改革以来房价各项指标的分析,发现近几年我国房价持续上涨,在此基础上,围绕着我国房价持续上涨的形成机理及其内源矛盾展开分析,最后,从体制和制度两个方面构建我国房价的长效稳定机制。本文试图找到中国房价快速上涨和泡沫难以破灭的根源及其应对措施。论文首先对我国房价的总体水平进行了研究,通过对房价收入比、商品房空置率等指标的计算与分析对我国房价进行了初步测度。为了深入考察我国房价的异常情况,本文利用我国历年房价数据建立计量经济模型,测度我国住宅市场的供给、需求以及价格的走势,并预测了未来几年我国住宅市场的发展情况。通过分析我国及房地产市场发展较为完善的西方国家的历年房价走势,发现我国房价呈现出持续上涨的势头。在此基础上,我们从供给、需求及机制方面对我国房价持续上涨的形成机理进行深入分析,并从我国目前的整体环境、体制及制度等方面分析了其对我国房价的影响。最后,本文从短期和长期两个方面来摧毁房价只升不降难题赖以产生的微观基础,从而构建我国房价的长效稳定机制,并针对性地提出了我国住宅价格波动治理的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Since 1998, China has implemented the reform of housing monetization system, the national housing prices have experienced a process of continuous rise, especially since August 31st 2003, the overall implementation of commercial land transfer "move, shoot." Since the "hanging" system, China's housing prices have shown a momentum of accelerating increase. Through the analysis of the housing price indicators since the reform of housing monetization in China, it is found that in recent years, China's house prices continue to rise, on the basis of this. Based on the analysis of the formation mechanism and internal contradiction of the rising house price in our country, the long-term stable mechanism of housing price in our country is constructed from the two aspects of system and system. This paper tries to find out the root cause of the rapid rise of house price and the difficulty of bubble burst in China and its countermeasures. Firstly, this paper studies the overall level of house price in China, through the study of the ratio of house price to income. In order to investigate the abnormal situation of house price in China, the econometric model is established by using the housing price data over the years. Measure the supply, demand and price trend of China's housing market. It also predicts the development of housing market in China in the next few years. Through the analysis of the trend of house prices in our country and western countries where the development of real estate market is relatively perfect in the past years. On the basis of this, we deeply analyze the formation mechanism of our country's house price from the aspects of supply, demand and mechanism, and analyze the whole environment of our country from the point of view of supply, demand and mechanism. System and system analysis of its impact on China's housing prices. Finally, this paper from the short-term and long-term to destroy the price of housing prices only rise, not decline the problem of the micro-foundation, so as to build a long-term stable mechanism of housing prices in China. And has put forward the countermeasure suggestion that our country housing price fluctuation manages pertinently.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.23

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