农村城镇化金融支持研究

发布时间：2018-02-12 14:14

本文关键词： 人口城镇化经济城镇化社会城镇化金融支持　出处：《辽宁大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济社会发展的必然趋势就是城镇化，它是衡量一国和地区现代化水平的重要标志。金融，作为经济的核心，一直都在影响着我国的城镇化进程。金融从促进第三产业发展，推动农业产业化以及支持城乡基础设施建设等维度，影响着我国的城镇化进程。金融部门通过融资，来获得城乡建设所需的资金；通过优化资金配置，来支持城乡经济发展。如何有效合理的运用金融机制促进城乡的发展，是我国金融改革的重要内容。论文分析了城镇化与金融支持的内在逻辑。城镇化的发展必须满足三个条件：第一，农村经济的发展所产生的大量剩余产品，可以用来支持城镇经济的发展。其次，在农村剩余产品的支持下，城镇经济，即第二、三产业经济，得到发展。此外，城镇经济的发展需要大量的农村剩余劳动力。城镇的基础设施建设可以为其提供充分的就业岗位，引起农村剩余劳动转移，从而提高城镇化的水平。从人口、经济、社会三个方面阐述了金融机构对城镇化进程支持。本文涉及的变量较多，建立了城镇化指标体系。采用了熵权法对二级变量进行了梳理，计算了各个变量的权重，进而得出了衡量人口城镇化、经济城镇化、社会城镇化的综合指标。论文的主要计量分析部分运用了多变量VAR模型，进行了时间序列的平稳性检验，进而做了Johanson协整关系检验。计量模型结果显示，人口城镇化、经济城镇化、社会城镇化水平综合指标和金融支持指标之间存在正向协整关系，，并对模型回归结果进行了解释。之后对模型做了AR稳定性检验，检验结果显示模型是稳定的。最后提出了加强城镇化进程中金融支持力度建议及措施。
[Abstract]:The inevitable trend of economic and social development is urbanization, which is an important symbol to measure the level of modernization of a country and a region. Finance, as the core of economy, has been influencing the process of urbanization in our country. The dimensions of promoting agricultural industrialization and supporting infrastructure construction in urban and rural areas affect the process of urbanization in China. The financial sector obtains the funds needed for urban and rural construction through financing, and optimizes the allocation of funds. How to effectively and reasonably use the financial mechanism to promote the development of urban and rural areas is an important content of financial reform in China. The paper analyzes the inherent logic of urbanization and financial support. The development of urbanization must meet three conditions: first, a large number of surplus products produced by the development of rural economy can be used to support the development of urban economy. With the support of surplus products in rural areas, the urban economy, that is, the economy of the second and third industries, has been developed. In addition, The development of urban economy needs a large number of rural surplus labors. The construction of urban infrastructure can provide them with sufficient employment posts and cause the transfer of surplus labor in rural areas, thus improving the level of urbanization. Social three aspects elaborated the financial institution to the urbanization process support. This paper deals with many variables, establishes the urbanization index system, combs the secondary variables by using entropy weight method, calculates the weights of each variable, and then obtains the measures of population urbanization, economic urbanization, The main econometric analysis part of the paper uses the multivariable VAR model, carries on the time series stability test, then makes the Johanson cointegration relation test. The econometric model results show that the population urbanization, There is a positive cointegration relationship between the economic urbanization, the social urbanization level comprehensive index and the financial support index, and the regression results of the model are explained. Then, the AR stability of the model is tested. The results show that the model is stable. Finally, suggestions and measures are put forward to strengthen the financial support in the process of urbanization.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.21;F832

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