青岛一品阁房地产项目财务风险评估研究

发布时间：2018-02-13 00:10

本文关键词： 房地产开发项目财务风险风险防范　出处：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：伴随我国经济的迅猛发展,房地产行业兴起,展示给人们的是房地产行业蓬勃发展、丰厚利益的一面,在这其中财务工作担任着关键的作用。在房地产项目开发的整个过程中,房地产企业需要进行定期的财务风险分析,根据项目进度制定恰当的金融调整,为下一步的决策提供有利信息,保障项目顺利进行。加强财务风险评估分析研究,可以降低投资者在其投资活动中的盲目性和风险,保障项目的经济效益和社会效益。对于任何一个投资活动,收益总是伴随着风险,尤其是房地产本身就是一个复杂的风险集合,风险事件可以使开发商蒙受巨大损失,甚至导致企业破产。因此,在房地产开发中的财务风险因素非常值得关注和研究,这也是商界和学术界面临的重要问题。房地产市场是风险和收益并存的市场,身为一个具有高风险的新型行业,高收益的驱使,在投资决策前,必须科学地、最大范围地估算财务风险,保证房地产投资者做出合理地风险投资决策。现阶段,对于房地产项目开发中的项目财务风险理论应用相对较少,特别是针对规模较小的房地产公司,尚且没有形成一套系统的项目财务风险分析范式,因此,本文采取了定量与定性分析的有机结合,并综合运用的财务分析,盈亏平衡分析,敏感性分析及概率分析等方法,是在对房地产项目财务风险分析表现形式上的一种创新。此外,青岛一品阁项目存在廉租房的特殊性,也是本文研究的一个创新点的来源。理论结合实践,本文从四个方面,全面分析了青岛一品阁房地产开发项目所面临的各种风险。并对青的岛房地产市场进行了分析。此外,运用一些成熟的房地产财务风险的国内和外国投资的理论和方法,结合中国房地产投资企业的实际情况,详细论述了青岛一品阁房地产项目投资的风险因素,并引出房地产开发项目财务风险分析方法,通过对具体情况的分析,全面介绍青岛一品阁项目。然后综合运用财务分析,盈亏平衡分析,敏感性分析及概率分析等进一步研究青岛一品阁项目的财务风险情况,并对此提出相应的对策。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of our country's economy, the rise of the real estate industry shows that the real estate industry is booming and profitable, in which the financial work plays a key role. In the whole process of the development of real estate projects, the financial work plays a key role in the development of real estate projects. Real estate enterprises need to carry out regular financial risk analysis, formulate appropriate financial adjustments according to project schedule, provide favorable information for the next decision, and ensure the smooth progress of the project. It can reduce the blindness and risk of investors in their investment activities, and guarantee the economic and social benefits of the project. In particular, real estate itself is a complex set of risks. Risk events can make developers suffer huge losses and even lead to enterprise bankruptcy. Therefore, the financial risk factors in real estate development are very worthy of attention and study. This is also an important issue for business and academia. The real estate market is a market where risks and returns coexist. As a new type of industry with high risks and driven by high returns, the real estate market must be scientifically driven before making investment decisions. Estimate the financial risk to the maximum extent, ensure that the real estate investors make reasonable venture investment decision. At present, the theory of project financial risk in the development of real estate project is relatively few. Especially for the small real estate companies, there is not a set of systematic project financial risk analysis paradigm, so this paper adopts the organic combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis, and comprehensive use of financial analysis, break-even analysis, The methods of sensitivity analysis and probability analysis are an innovation in the form of financial risk analysis of real estate projects. In addition, the Qingdao Yipingge project has the particularity of low-rent housing. It is also a source of innovation in this paper. Combining theory with practice, this paper comprehensively analyzes all kinds of risks faced by Qingdao Yipinko real estate development project from four aspects, and analyzes the real estate market of Qingdao. By using some mature theories and methods of domestic and foreign investment in real estate financial risk, combined with the actual situation of Chinese real estate investment enterprises, the paper discusses the risk factors of Qingdao Yipingge real estate project investment in detail. The financial risk analysis method of the real estate development project is introduced. Through the analysis of the specific situation, the Qingdao Yipingge project is introduced in an all-round way. Then, the comprehensive use of financial analysis, break-even analysis, Sensitivity analysis and probability analysis further study the financial risk of Qingdao Yipingge project, and put forward the corresponding countermeasures.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.233.42

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