城市碳排放强度影响因素分析及评价研究

发布时间：2018-02-24 13:20

本文关键词： 城市二氧化碳排放强度 LMDI 工业能源强度 DEA　出处：《华北电力大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着全球气温的上升，温室气体排放的控制越来越受到世界各国的重视，2008年我国在哥本哈根气候会议上做出了到2020年中国二氧化碳排放强度比2005年下降40%～45%的承诺。目前各个城市都制定了二氧化碳排放强度的下降目标，为了实现二氧化碳排放强度的下降首先需要找出导致其变化的影响因素，因此城市二氧化碳排放强度影响因素的分析和评价的研究具有很强的现实意义。本文首先对城市二氧化碳排放强度影响因素和分解模型进行了深入的研究，选择LMDI方法对城市二氧化碳排放强度进行分解，影响因素分解为能源强度、能源结构和产业结构三个因素；其次工业能源强度是影响二氧化碳排放强度变化的主要因素，采用LMDI方法将工业能源强度分解为技术效应和结构效应两个因素，技术效应是导致工业能源强度变化的主要因素，采用DEA方法对历年城市二氧化碳排放强度进行纵向评价，，对城市二氧化碳排放强度进行更加全面深入地分析，为城市二氧化碳排放强度的下降提供建议；最后以河北省保定市为例，采用LMDI方法对二氧化碳排放强度和工业能源强度影响因素进行深入分析，研究结果表明，工业中电力、热力的生产和供应业、煤炭开采和洗选业、皮革、毛皮、羽毛（绒）及其制造业和石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业四个行业是影响工业能源强度的主要因素，而电力、热力的生产和供应业的技术效应是导致工业能源强度上升的主要因素，2010和2011年保定市二氧化碳排放强度效率下降。通过对城市二氧化碳排放强度影响因素的分析与评价的研究，提出了城市二氧化碳排放强度的分解方法和影响因素，最后深入到某些行业，为城市二氧化碳排放强度的下降提出可行方案，为城市二氧化碳排放强度影响因素的研究提供参考。
[Abstract]:As global temperatures rise, More and more attention has been paid to the control of greenhouse gas emissions. In 2008, at the Copenhagen Climate Conference, China made a commitment to reduce the intensity of China's carbon dioxide emissions by 40% or 45% by 2020 compared with 2005. To reduce the intensity of carbon dioxide emissions, In order to realize the decrease of carbon dioxide emission intensity, it is necessary to find out the influencing factors that lead to the change of carbon dioxide emission intensity, so it is of great practical significance to analyze and evaluate the influencing factors of urban carbon dioxide emission intensity. In this paper, the influencing factors and decomposition model of urban carbon dioxide emission intensity are studied deeply, and the LMDI method is selected to decompose the urban carbon dioxide emission intensity, which is decomposed into energy intensity. The energy structure and industrial structure are three factors. Secondly, the industrial energy intensity is the main factor affecting the change of carbon dioxide emission intensity. The industrial energy intensity is decomposed into two factors by LMDI method: technical effect and structural effect. The technical effect is the main factor leading to the change of industrial energy intensity. The urban carbon dioxide emission intensity is evaluated longitudinally by DEA method, and the urban carbon dioxide emission intensity is analyzed more comprehensively and deeply. Finally, taking Baoding City of Hebei Province as an example, the influence factors of carbon dioxide emission intensity and industrial energy intensity are analyzed by LMDI method. Thermal production and supply, coal mining and washing, leather, fur, feather (velvet) and its manufacturing and petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing industries are the main factors affecting industrial energy intensity, while electricity, The technical effect of thermal production and supply industry is the main factor leading to the increase of industrial energy intensity. In 2010 and 2011, the efficiency of carbon dioxide emission intensity in Baoding City decreased. Based on the analysis and evaluation of the influencing factors of urban carbon dioxide emission intensity, the decomposition method and influencing factors of urban carbon dioxide emission intensity are put forward. Finally, it goes deep into some industries. It provides a feasible scheme for the reduction of urban carbon dioxide emission intensity and provides a reference for the study of the influencing factors of urban carbon dioxide emission intensity.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：X22;F299.2

【相似文献】