基于DEA方法的我国汽车制造业全要素生产率分析

发布时间：2018-03-11 00:14

本文选题：汽车制造业　切入点：全要素生产率　出处：《华南理工大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来，我国制造业的迅速发展极大的提升了中国的实力，也成为了国民经济的支柱。其中汽车制造业发展尤为迅速，在我国制造业发展中占有重要的地位，许多国家把汽车制造业作为衡量一个国家科学技术与经济发展水平的重要标志，并把汽车业作为国民经济的支柱产业，可见汽车制造业的重要地位与作用。我国2009年生产的汽车销量突破1300万辆，，超越美国成为全球最大的汽车市场，据中国汽车工业协会最新公布，2013年，我国汽车产销2211.68万辆和2198.41万辆，同比分别增长14.9%和13.9%，增速稳中有进，再次刷新全球纪录，连续五年蝉联世界第一，汽车制造业已进入总量较高的平稳发展阶段。然而，生产效率问题是一个不可忽视的大问题，少投入多产出，一直都是企业生产的关键，也是国际国内经济竞争力的关键部分。面对国际市场的激烈竞争，我们必须要对我国汽车制造业的生产率进行研究。本文以我国汽车制造业这样一个国民经济中和一国发展战略中具有重要地位和作用的制造产业作为研究对象有着重要意义，特别是对快速发展过程中的汽车制造业进行全要素生产率(TFP)分析更有着重要意义。根据相关经济理论，通过全要素生产率的测算模型，运用数据包络分析中的Malmquist指数法，对我国29个汽车生产地区及全国2000-2011年的面板数据进行分解、测算，并深入分析我国各省市汽车制造业TFP增长的变化规律和波动趋势。并据此进一步对我国中部、东部、西部三大地区的汽车制造业全要素生产率进行了比较分析以及对我国部分地区某一年份的投入冗余产出不足进行了分析。最后在此研究的基础上找出影响我国汽车制造业全要素生产率的主要因素。本文的研究目标主要有：一是把握汽车制造业TFP增长的变动规律和演进趋势；二是弄清汽车制造业TFP的增长源泉及其内在机理，并对我国汽车制造业的长期发展提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the rapid development of China's manufacturing industry has greatly enhanced China's strength and become the pillar of the national economy. Many countries regard the automobile manufacturing industry as an important symbol to measure the level of science, technology and economic development of a country, and regard the automobile industry as the pillar industry of the national economy. In 2009, China's auto sales exceeded 13 million units, overtaking the United States as the world's largest auto market. According to the latest announcement by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, 2013, The production and sales of twenty-two million one hundred and sixteen thousand and eight hundred and twenty-one million nine hundred and eighty-four thousand and one hundred vehicles in China have increased by 14.9% and 13.9 respectively over the same period last year. The growth rate has improved steadily, and the world record has been set again. For five consecutive years, the automobile manufacturing industry has entered a stage of steady development with a relatively high total volume. Production efficiency is a big problem that can not be ignored. Less input and more output have always been the key of enterprise production, and also the key part of international and domestic economic competitiveness. In the face of fierce competition in the international market, We must study the productivity of our automobile manufacturing industry. In this paper, it is of great significance to study the manufacturing industry which plays an important role in the national economy and the development strategy of a country. Especially, it is of great significance to analyze the total factor productivity (TFP) of the automobile manufacturing industry in the process of rapid development. According to the relevant economic theory, the Malmquist index method in the data envelopment analysis is used to measure the total factor productivity (TFP). The panel data of 29 automobile production areas in China and the whole country from 2000 to 2011 are analyzed, and the variation law and fluctuation trend of TFP growth in automobile manufacturing industry in various provinces and cities of China are analyzed. Based on this, the change of TFP in the central and eastern parts of China is further analyzed. The total factor productivity (TFP) of automobile manufacturing industry in three western regions is comparatively analyzed, and the shortage of input redundancy and output in some regions of China is analyzed. Finally, based on the research, the author finds out the influence of this research on the steam production in China. The main research objectives of this paper are as follows: first, grasp the changing law and evolution trend of TFP growth in automobile manufacturing industry; The second is to make clear the growth source and internal mechanism of TFP in automobile manufacturing industry, and to put forward policy suggestions for the long-term development of automobile manufacturing industry in China.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.471;F224

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