云南县域经济跨越式发展下的城镇化时空效应分析

发布时间：2018-03-19 12:22

本文选题：城镇化　切入点：县域经济　出处：《学术探索》2015年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：城镇化是县域经济跨越式发展的重要推力,2000年以来云南城镇化率不断提升,但与之相伴随的是人均GDP、人均全社会固定资产投资、人均居民消费等经济指标在全国的位次逐年下滑。鉴于此,本文首先构建城镇化影响县域经济发展的传导路径,以2005~2012年云南省106个县域地区面板数据为例,从总体效应、时间效应和空间效应三个角度检验云南城镇化对县域经济发展的影响。结论显示:总体上城镇化对县域经济的促进作用仅依赖于投资传导,没有开启消费传导通道;从时间上看,2008年实施新型城镇化战略后,城镇化对县域经济的促进效应开始变得明显;从空间上看,仅有滇中地区通过投资传导发挥城镇化的积极作用,而在其他地区无论是通过消费还是投资都没有起到有效的传导作用。最后,根据研究结论提出打通云南新型城镇化对县域经济跨越式发展促进通道的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is an important thrust of the leap-forward development of county economy. Since 2000, the urbanization rate in Yunnan has been increasing, but it is accompanied by per capita GDP, per capita investment in fixed assets of the whole society. The order of economic indicators such as per capita resident consumption has been declining year by year. In view of this, this paper first constructs the transmission path of urbanization affecting the development of county economy, taking 106 county area panel data of Yunnan Province from 2005 to 2012 as an example, from the overall effect. The influence of urbanization on county economy is tested from three angles of time effect and space effect. The conclusion shows that the promotion of urbanization to county economy depends only on investment transmission and does not open the channel of consumption conduction; From the point of view of time, after the implementation of the new urbanization strategy in 2008, the promoting effect of urbanization on the county economy began to become obvious; from the spatial point of view, only the central Yunnan region played a positive role in urbanization through investment transmission. In other areas, either consumption or investment has not played an effective transmission role. Finally, according to the conclusions of the study, the paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development of county economy through the new urbanization in Yunnan.
【作者单位】：云南大学发展研究院;云南财经大学公共政策研究中心;云南财经大学财政与经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目(12CRK021) 云南省哲学社会科学研究基地重点项目(JD2014ZD14)
【分类号】：F127;F299.27

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