河北省城市综合承载力实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-27 10:53

本文选题：城市综合承载力　切入点：主成分分析法　出处：《天津财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：发展作为一个亘古不变的话题,在中国的经济高速、稳定、健康发展过程中同样难以避免,尤其是在如今——“城镇化”被提上了重要对日程。伴随着发展而产生的是城市承载力的问题,本文所研究的城市综合承载力是从城市的自身特征和其所具有的功能视角出发。自身特征如资源储备量、土地面积等,这些因素决定了城市发展的潜力,也就是说由其自身先天条件决定的其未来发展的程度。而在城市的功能方面则指的是该城市会为其市民提供怎样的生活环境,如教育、医疗、就业等。论文在借鉴前人的研究基础之上,以河北省11个城市为研究对象,选取了水资源、土地资源、交通资源、教育资源、医疗、就业、环境资源等几个方面14个指标,利用主成分分析法建立了综合承载力的评价模型,从两个方面进行分析：首先进行了不同城市承载力的差异性研究,并从时间序列的角度分析了城市承载力2006-2012年的变化趋势；其次,对河北省的总体城市综合承载力水平随时间的变化趋势进行研究。然后,在主成分分析评价模型的基础上,运用灰色关联分析法对河北省城市综合承载力与经济增长之间进行了相关研究。研究结果发现：河北省的不同城市的承载力情况是有差异的,并且同一个城市的不同方面的承载力情况是有差异的,其承载力是随着时间的变化不断波动的。与此同时,通过对已有数据的分析,得出对城市承载力影响最大的四个方面：就业承载力、环境承载力、教育承载力、医疗承载力。并且发现城市综合承载力越高,其与经济发展水平的关系就越不密切。并根据此研究结果提出了关于提高城市综合承载力的相关建议。
[Abstract]:As an everlasting topic, development is also difficult to avoid in the process of rapid, stable and healthy development of China's economy. Especially now, "urbanization" has been put on the agenda. With the development, it is the problem of carrying capacity of cities. The urban comprehensive carrying capacity studied in this paper is based on the characteristics of the city and its function. Its own characteristics, such as the amount of resources reserves, the land area and so on, determine the potential of urban development. That is to say, the degree of its future development determined by its own innate conditions. In terms of the function of the city, it refers to the kind of living environment that the city will provide to its citizens, such as education, medical care, On the basis of the previous studies, the paper selects 14 indexes of water resources, land resources, transportation resources, education resources, medical treatment, employment, environmental resources, etc., taking 11 cities in Hebei Province as the research object. The evaluation model of comprehensive bearing capacity is established by principal component analysis, and analyzed from two aspects: firstly, the difference of carrying capacity of different cities is studied, and the change trend of urban carrying capacity from 2006 to 2012 is analyzed from the angle of time series; Secondly, the change trend of overall urban comprehensive carrying capacity level with time in Hebei Province is studied. Then, on the basis of principal component analysis evaluation model, The relationship between urban comprehensive carrying capacity and economic growth in Hebei Province is studied by using grey relational analysis. The results show that the carrying capacity of different cities in Hebei Province is different. And the carrying capacity of different aspects of the same city is different, and its bearing capacity fluctuates with time. At the same time, through the analysis of the existing data, Four aspects that have the greatest influence on urban bearing capacity are obtained: employment carrying capacity, environmental carrying capacity, education carrying capacity, medical carrying capacity, and it is found that the higher the urban comprehensive carrying capacity, the higher the urban comprehensive carrying capacity. The relationship between it and the level of economic development is less close. Based on the results of this study, some suggestions on improving the comprehensive bearing capacity of cities are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.27

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