中部城市群建设的经济增长、环境影响及其空间溢出作用

发布时间：2018-04-16 07:57

本文选题：中部城市群 + 经济增长　；参考：《湖南大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：21世纪以来，中部地区各省纷纷建立城市群作为区域经济增长极，旨在带动区域经济增长，促进中部崛起。同时，“两型社会”建设和“五位一体”布局对经济与环境协调发展提出了更高要求。那么，中部地区城市群建设是否真正提高了要素产出效益，推动区域经济协调发展？中部地区城市群经济增长过程中是否有效保证了环境效益？中部地区城市群建设是否实现了经济与环境协调可持续发展？本文根据集聚经济理论、增长极理论和环境空间溢出机制，运用空间计量经济学方法对中部地区576个市县的经济效益、环境影响及其溢出作用进行分析。首先，以相关区域经济增长理论作为理论基础，梳理城市群经济效益的来源，城市群经济增长的空间溢出机制。以相关环境与经济增长的理论及环境空间溢出的相关研究为基础，梳理了污染排放与经济增长关系，以及环境（污染排放）的空间溢出机制；其次，本文利用2003-2011年中部地区576个三类市县(地级市、县级市和未设市的县)的面板数据构建经济增长空间滞后模型，并对其进行两阶段最小二乘法固定效应模型分析其经济效益及其溢出作用，同时，利用其中80个地级以上城市数据，采用扩展的EKC空间滞后模型来分析城市群建设的环境效益及其空间溢出作用。其中，经济增长空间滞后模型分析结果表明：城市群建设使城市群内中心城市获得了更高的资本产出；但公共服务设施的过度集中，已产生明显的拥挤效应和集聚不经济；城市群经济增长对地级市经济有显著的扩散作用，对县级市和县则有明显的回流作用，城市群经济增长抑制了县一级城市的发展。扩展的EKC空间滞后模型结果显示：2003-2011年期间，二氧化硫排放与人均产出呈倒U型关系，且当前人均GDP已超过拐点，而人均工业废水则与人均产出呈平方减少，但二者都说明中部地区经济增长有助于减少污染排放；FDI存量有效的减少城市群内中心地级城市二氧化硫和工业废水排放，但是增加了其他城市的工业废水排放；教育程度的提高有利于降低城市环境污染，但公共服务的过分集中已产生明显的环境负外部性；当前中部城市城市群建设过程中二氧化硫排放具有正的空间溢出作用，尽管工业废水排放空间溢出作用不显著，但总体来说城市群建设的环境效益呈良性的空间溢出，城市群内中心城市的环境质量提高有利于其他地级城市环境质量的提高。再次，结合城市群建设经济效益和环境效益进行综合分析说明：城市群建设有效带动地级市经济增长；且从人均二氧化硫和人均工业废水排放来看经济增长能够有效减少污染排放，说明当前中部城市群在发展经济的同时也改善了城市的环境；其中城市群内地级城市人均二氧化硫排放具有正的溢出作用，工业废水正溢出可能由于污染产业的转移而抵消，，但总体来说中部城市群既保护了环境又促进了经济发展；最后，本文在前面理论和实证分析的基础上提出针对性的政策建议并对全文进行了总结。
[Abstract]:Since twenty-first Century, the central provinces have established the city agglomeration as the growth pole of regional economy, to promote regional economic growth, promoting the rise of central China. At the same time, the "two oriented society" construction and layout of "five in one" has put forward higher requirements on the coordinated development of economy and environment. Then, the construction of city groups in the central area is really improved output benefit factors, promote the coordinated development of regional economy? City groups in the central area in the process of economic growth will effectively ensure the environmental benefits of the construction of city groups in the central area? Whether can achieve the coordination of economic and environmental sustainable development?
According to the agglomeration theory, growth pole theory and environment spatial spillover mechanism, economic benefits of using spatial econometric methods to 576 cities and counties in the central region, analyze the environmental impact and spillover effects. Firstly, related to the regional economic growth theory as the theoretical basis and source of economic benefit of combing the city group, city group economic spatial spillover mechanism growth. With the related theories of environmental and spatial spillover related environmental and economic growth as the basis, clarifies the relationship between pollution and economic growth, and environmental (pollution) spatial spillover mechanism; secondly, the central region 2003-2011 years 576 three counties (county-level city and county of the prefecture level city is not set city, the construction of the panel data) economic growth spatial lag model, and the two stage least squares fixed effect model to analyze the economic benefits and overflow The role of, at the same time, with more than 80 prefecture level city data, by using the extended EKC space to analyze the environmental effects and spatial spillover effects of city group construction lag model. Among them, the economic growth spatial lag model analysis shows that: the city group construction group within the city center city has more capital output; but the public service facilities over centralized, have obvious crowding effect and agglomeration economy; economic growth of city clusters have significant effect on the proliferation of city economy, has obvious effect on return of the county-level city and county, the development of city group economic growth inhibition of county level city. The extended EKC spatial lag model results showed that: during the 2003-2011 years, sulfur dioxide emissions in inverted U relationship between the per capita output, and the per capita GDP has exceeded the inflection point, while the per capita industrial wastewater and reduce the per capita output square, But the two shows that the economic growth of the central region helps to reduce pollution emissions; effectively reduce the FDI stock of city groups in the central city of sulfur dioxide and industrial wastewater emissions, but the increase in other city industrial wastewater discharge; the higher level of education is conducive to reducing environmental pollution in city, but the public service has produced excessive concentration of negative environment obvious externalities; with spatial spillover effects is the construction process of sulfur dioxide emissions in the central city group in the city, although the industrial wastewater discharge spatial spillover effect is not significant, but the overall construction of city agglomeration environment spatial spillover benefits was benign, the environmental quality of city groups in the center of the city is conducive to the improvement of other prefecture level city environment quality improve. Again, combined with the construction of city agglomeration economic benefit and environmental benefit analysis: city group construction with effective The dynamic economic growth and per capita from the prefecture level city; sulfur dioxide and industrial wastewater discharge per capita economic growth can effectively reduce pollution emissions, indicating that the current central city group in the development of economy but also improve the environment of the city; the city group in the city per capita two oxidation sulfur emissions has positive spillover effects, industrial wastewater may be due to positive spillover the transfer of industrial pollution and offset, but overall the central city group to protect environment and promote economic development; finally, based on the above theoretical and empirical analysis put forward specific policy recommendations and a summary of the full text.

【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：X22;F299.27

【参考文献】