生活领域能源消费的锁定效应研究——以上海市为例

发布时间：2018-04-16 11:20

本文选题：锁定效应 + 逻辑斯蒂回归　；参考：《资源科学》2015年04期

【摘要】：当前,在全社会大力倡导节能行为,节能家电已成为市场主流的背景下,我国人均生活能源消费量却逐年攀升。本文认为,这源于生活领域能源消费的锁定效应,本文从住房面积和收入水平两方面分别探究上述锁定效应的形成过程。基于2013年《上海市居民生活碳消费状况调查数据》,本文首先选取两类面积水平相同的住房类型(类型1:别墅、联排、大平层,类型5:农民独栋别墅),通过多元线性回归分析筛选出显著耗能设备,之后运用逻辑斯蒂回归模型探究拥有上述筛选出的耗能设备的概率与居民收入水平的关系,进而分析收入水平对能源消费的锁定效应;类似地,本文选取两类收入水平相同的住房类型(类型1:别墅、联排、大平层,类型2:高层/小高层),探究住房面积对能源消费的锁定效应。结果表明,收入水平和居住面积影响居民家庭购置、使用功能类似但能耗水平不同的电器,从而形成不同的生活样式,导致居住能耗差异。
[Abstract]:At present, under the background that energy saving behavior is strongly advocated in the whole society, energy saving appliances have become the mainstream of the market, the per capita energy consumption of our country is rising year by year.This paper argues that this comes from the lock-in effect of energy consumption in the field of living. This paper explores the formation process of the locking effect from the two aspects of housing area and income level.Based on the living carbon consumption data of Shanghai residents in 2013, this paper first selects two types of housing with the same area level (type 1: villas, townhouses, Dapingliang),Type 5: farmers single family villas, through multiple linear regression analysis to screen out significant energy consumption equipment, and then use the logical Stey regression model to explore the relationship between the probability of having the above-mentioned energy consumption equipment and the income level of residents.Similarly, this paper selects two types of housing with the same income level (type 1: villas, townhouses, flat floors, etc.Type 2: high-level / small-level, to explore the impact of housing area on energy consumption lock-in effect.The results show that the income level and living area affect the household purchase and use the electric appliances with similar functions but different energy consumption levels, thus forming different living styles and leading to the difference of residential energy consumption.
【作者单位】：复旦大学环境科学与工程系;
【基金】：复旦大学复旦-丁铎尔中心生态环境与人文社科交叉研究项目(EZH1829007/017) 国家社会科学基金项目(09AZD048)
【分类号】：F206

【相似文献】