中国城镇化与城乡收入差距的“倒U型”拐点测度——基于东、中、西部地区省际面板数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-07-01 19:37

本文选题：城镇化 + 城乡收入差距　；参考：《统计与信息论坛》2015年09期

【摘要】：基于中国2000—2011年省际面板数据,分析城镇化对城乡收入差距的影响及其地区差异,结果发现城镇化的推进使中国城乡收入差距呈现先扩大后缩小的"倒U型"规律,拐点出现在城镇化率为46.07%的时候,约在2009年出现。同时,由于中国区域经济发展和城镇化进程的不平衡性,城镇化对城乡收入差距的影响存在显著的地区差异。在东部地区,城镇化对城乡收入差距的影响也显著呈"倒U型",不过其拐点与全国相比出现在更早的时期和城镇化水平更高的位置;在中、西部地区,城镇化对城乡收入差距的"倒U型"影响并不显著,中部地区显著处于城镇化扩大城乡收入差距的阶段,其"倒U型"拐点尚未出现,而西部地区有效缩小城乡收入差距的转折点可能会出现的更晚。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2011 in China, this paper analyzes the impact of urbanization on the urban-rural income gap and its regional differences. The results show that the urban-rural income gap in China first expands and then shrinks with the development of urbanization. The inflection point appears when the urbanization rate is 46.07%, approximately in 2009. At the same time, due to the imbalance between regional economic development and urbanization, there are significant regional differences in the impact of urbanization on the urban-rural income gap. In the eastern region, the impact of urbanization on the urban-rural income gap is also "inverted U", but its inflection point appears in the earlier period and the higher level of urbanization compared with the whole country; in the central and western regions, The impact of urbanization on the income gap between urban and rural areas is not significant. The central region is significantly in the stage of urbanization to expand the urban-rural income gap, and the "inverted U-shaped" inflection point has not yet appeared. And the turning point of effectively narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas in the western region may come later.
【作者单位】：武汉大学社会保障研究中心;武汉大学政治与公共管理学院;湖北经济学院经济学系;上海财经大学统计与管理学院;
【分类号】：F299.21;F124.7

【参考文献】