农民工永久性迁移与城镇化投资政策取向

发布时间：2018-07-13 17:01

【摘要】：将拥有城市住房作为农民工实现永久性迁移的标志,通过建立农民工的生命周期模型,对不同的城镇化投资政策进行比较静态分析,发现向大城市倾斜的投资政策,将使原本具备向小城市永久性迁移能力的农民工转而向大城市临时性迁移;向小城市倾斜的投资政策,将使向大城市临时性迁移的农民工转而向小城市永久性迁移,并使仍在大城市就业的农民工实现永久性迁移的可能性增大,总体上实现永久性迁移的农民工比例提高。因此,在未来的城镇化进程中,应制定向小城市倾斜的投资政策,引导产业项目和基础设施建设在住房支付能力强的小城市布局,提高其就业吸纳能力,改变我国城市就业吸纳能力和住房支付能力错配的现状,实现更多的农民工向城市永久性迁移。
[Abstract]:Taking urban housing as the symbol of permanent migration of migrant workers, through establishing the life cycle model of migrant workers, this paper makes a comparative static analysis of different urbanization investment policies, and finds out the investment policies tilted to large cities. It will enable migrant workers who have the ability to migrate permanently to small cities to move to large cities on a temporary basis; investment policies that tilt towards small cities will enable migrant workers who have temporarily migrated to large cities to move to small cities on a permanent basis. It also increases the possibility of permanent migration of migrant workers who are still employed in big cities, and increases the proportion of migrant workers who realize permanent migration on the whole. Therefore, in the process of urbanization in the future, we should formulate investment policies that are inclined towards small cities, guide industrial projects and infrastructure construction in the layout of small cities with strong housing affordability, and improve their employment-absorbing capacity. Changing the mismatch of urban employment absorption capacity and housing affordability in order to realize more migrant workers to the city permanent migration.
【作者单位】：中共中央党校经济学教研部;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“劳动力转移刚性、产业转移与区域协调发展研究”(11CJY015)
【分类号】：F323.6;F299.21

【参考文献】