我国劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易影响的实证分析
发布时间：2018-08-07 15:39
【摘要】：自2001年我国加入WTO以来，我国的出口贸易快速增长，，2001年到2012年，在排除价格因素后，我国出口总额的平均增长率达到了16%。但是，随着贸易规模的扩大，我国的贸易利益并没有相应地增加，造成这种情况的原因有很多，而我国廉价的劳动力资源是其中的亮点。所以，本文的目的就是分析劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易的影响。以往的文章都是分析整个要素市场扭曲对出口贸易量、贸易利益的影响，或者分析劳动力市场扭曲对国内经济的影响，而本文分析单个要素市场扭曲-劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易的影响,不仅对推动出口贸易的健康可持续发展具有重要的意义，而且还为发展中国对外贸易提供相关决策依据。另外，通过定量分析劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易的真实影响，不仅有助于解释中国出口贸易利益为何没有随着出口贸易规模的扩大而增加的问题，而且有利于国内经济体制的深层改革、经济的健康稳定发展。 文章首先分析了劳动力市场扭曲与出口贸易的相关理论。其次，分析了我国劳动力市场扭曲现状、成因及其产生的经济效应。再次，用理论分析和实证分析相结合的方法研究劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易的影响。在理论方面，运用大卫李嘉图的比较利益学说和哈伯勒的机会成本概念说明劳动力市场扭曲是我国出口贸易的一个比较优势。在实证方面，首先用C-D生产函数的方法测量了我国2001-2011年25个工业行业的劳动力市场扭曲度，从测量的结果上看，我国工业行业的劳动力市场扭曲度整体上呈现上升的趋势，这是我国政治遗留和经济发展造成的困境。然后用工业行业的劳动力市场扭曲度、资本市场扭曲度、外商资本构建面板数据来测量劳动力市场扭曲度对我国出口额的影响，结果说明了劳动力市场扭曲促进了我国出口贸易的增长。我们发展贸易并不是追求贸易量不断增长，而是为了获得更多的贸易利益、提高对外贸易福利。但是，我国出口贸易规模在不断增长时却伴随着贸易利益的恶化，所以，本文接着分析了劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易利益的制约。最后，针对我国劳动力市场扭曲对出口贸易造成的非持续增长问题，提出了相关的对策及建议，以实现我国贸易规模和贸易利益的同步增长。
[Abstract]:Since China's entry into WTO in 2001, China's export trade has increased rapidly. From 2001 to 2012, the average growth rate of China's total export volume reached 16% after excluding price factors. However, with the expansion of the scale of trade, the trade interests of our country have not increased correspondingly, there are many reasons for this situation, and the cheap labor resources are the bright spot. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of labor market distortion on export trade. Previous articles have analyzed the impact of the distortion of the entire factor market on the volume of export trade, the benefits of trade, or the impact of the distortion of the labour market on the domestic economy. This paper analyzes the influence of single factor market distortion-labor market distortion on export trade, which not only has important significance to promote the healthy and sustainable development of export trade, but also provides relevant decision-making basis for the development of China's foreign trade. In addition, quantitative analysis of the real impact of labor market distortions on export trade not only helps to explain why the benefits of China's export trade do not increase with the expansion of export trade, And it is conducive to the deep reform of the domestic economic system and the healthy and stable development of the economy. Firstly, the paper analyzes the theory of labor market distortion and export trade. Secondly, the paper analyzes the current situation, causes and economic effects of labor market distortion in China. In theory, using David Ricardo's theory of comparative interests and Hubble's concept of opportunity cost, it is proved that labor market distortion is a comparative advantage of China's export trade. In the empirical aspect, the labor market distortion of 25 industrial industries in China from 2001 to 2011 is measured by C-D production function method. From the measurement results, the labor market distortion of China's industrial industry is on the whole rising. This is our country's political legacy and economic development caused by the plight. Then the labor market distortion, capital market distortion, foreign capital construction panel data are used to measure the impact of labor market distortion on China's exports. The results show that labor market distortion promotes the growth of China's export trade. We are developing trade not to increase trade volume, but to gain more trade benefits and improve foreign trade welfare. However, the scale of China's export trade is increasing with the deterioration of trade interests. Therefore, this paper then analyzes the constraints of labor market distortions on export trade interests. Finally, in view of the non-sustainable growth of export trade caused by the distortion of labor market in China, this paper puts forward some relevant countermeasures and suggestions to realize the simultaneous growth of trade scale and trade interests.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.21;F752.62
本文编号：2170497
[Abstract]:Since China's entry into WTO in 2001, China's export trade has increased rapidly. From 2001 to 2012, the average growth rate of China's total export volume reached 16% after excluding price factors. However, with the expansion of the scale of trade, the trade interests of our country have not increased correspondingly, there are many reasons for this situation, and the cheap labor resources are the bright spot. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of labor market distortion on export trade. Previous articles have analyzed the impact of the distortion of the entire factor market on the volume of export trade, the benefits of trade, or the impact of the distortion of the labour market on the domestic economy. This paper analyzes the influence of single factor market distortion-labor market distortion on export trade, which not only has important significance to promote the healthy and sustainable development of export trade, but also provides relevant decision-making basis for the development of China's foreign trade. In addition, quantitative analysis of the real impact of labor market distortions on export trade not only helps to explain why the benefits of China's export trade do not increase with the expansion of export trade, And it is conducive to the deep reform of the domestic economic system and the healthy and stable development of the economy. Firstly, the paper analyzes the theory of labor market distortion and export trade. Secondly, the paper analyzes the current situation, causes and economic effects of labor market distortion in China. In theory, using David Ricardo's theory of comparative interests and Hubble's concept of opportunity cost, it is proved that labor market distortion is a comparative advantage of China's export trade. In the empirical aspect, the labor market distortion of 25 industrial industries in China from 2001 to 2011 is measured by C-D production function method. From the measurement results, the labor market distortion of China's industrial industry is on the whole rising. This is our country's political legacy and economic development caused by the plight. Then the labor market distortion, capital market distortion, foreign capital construction panel data are used to measure the impact of labor market distortion on China's exports. The results show that labor market distortion promotes the growth of China's export trade. We are developing trade not to increase trade volume, but to gain more trade benefits and improve foreign trade welfare. However, the scale of China's export trade is increasing with the deterioration of trade interests. Therefore, this paper then analyzes the constraints of labor market distortions on export trade interests. Finally, in view of the non-sustainable growth of export trade caused by the distortion of labor market in China, this paper puts forward some relevant countermeasures and suggestions to realize the simultaneous growth of trade scale and trade interests.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.21;F752.62
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