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吉林省城镇化建设综合评价分析研究

发布时间:2018-10-15 20:25
【摘要】:“城镇化建设”已被写入党的十八大报告,成为未来中国发展的方向之一。城镇化建设是本届政府力推的重点改革工作,是经济发展的重要引擎。2013年底召开的中央经济工作会议和中央城镇化工作会议均提出,要制定实施好国家新型城镇化规划。在改革顶层设计基本完成后,2014年将全面展开城镇化建设。本文的目的在于研究吉林省城镇化现状,针对现状对吉林省城镇化建设进行综合分并给出相应的对策建议,做到因地制宜,从而更有效的加快吉林省城镇化建设步伐。 本文采用规范分析与实证分析相结合的方法进行研究。首先对城镇化建设的形势背景进行介绍,阐述了国内外相关文献的理论观点,介绍了农村城镇化的基本理论概述、城镇化存在的问题及研究的现实意义。在此基础上,分析了吉林省农村城镇化建设的现状及城镇化建设与经济发展的关系,选取吉林省1983至2012年的城镇化水平与经济发展指标,利用EViews软件对吉林省城镇化率和经济发展的关系进行了格兰杰因果关系检验,得出结论:就现在的吉林省现状而言,城镇化水平拉动了经济增长,但经济增长对城镇化的进程贡献却甚微。从而对吉林省城镇化建设的现实意义有了更深入的研究。接着,,根据吉林省农村城镇化的影响因素,选取了2012年的吉林省各县市18个指标数据对吉林省城镇化的影响因素进行指标体系构建提取了六个主成分,分别是人口比重因子、社会服务因子、经济与环境因子、基础设施建设因子、教育因子和产业结构因子,最终得到吉林省农村城镇化的得分模型,并利用该模型,利用SPSS19.0软件采用因子分析方法对吉林省的各县市进行评分排名,并对评分结果做出对应分析,分析得到靠近长春市的各县市在得分排名中靠前,而远离长春市的偏远县市如图们市等在排名中靠后,针对各项因子排名最终进行综合分析。最后为对策建议,提出对吉林省城镇化建设的几点建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization has been written into the report of the 18th National Congress of the Party, becoming one of the directions of China's development in the future. Urbanization construction is the key reform work pushed by the current government and an important engine for economic development. The central economic work conference and the central urbanization work conference held at the end of 2013 both proposed that we should formulate and implement the national new urbanization plan. After the basic completion of the top-level design reform, urbanization will be carried out in 2014. The purpose of this paper is to study the present situation of urbanization in Jilin Province, to comprehensively divide the construction of urbanization in Jilin Province and to give corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, so as to speed up the construction of urbanization in Jilin Province more effectively. This paper adopts the method of combining normative analysis with empirical analysis. Firstly, it introduces the situation background of urbanization construction, expounds the theoretical viewpoints of relevant literature at home and abroad, introduces the basic theory of rural urbanization, the problems existing in urbanization and the practical significance of the research. On this basis, this paper analyzes the present situation of rural urbanization construction in Jilin Province and the relationship between urbanization construction and economic development, and selects the urbanization level and economic development indicators of Jilin Province from 1983 to 2012. The Granger causality test of the relationship between the urbanization rate and economic development in Jilin Province is carried out by using EViews software, and the conclusion is drawn: in terms of the present situation in Jilin Province, the urbanization level has pulled the economic growth. But economic growth contributes little to the process of urbanization. Thus, there is a more in-depth study on the practical significance of urbanization construction in Jilin Province. Then, according to the influencing factors of rural urbanization in Jilin Province, the paper selects 18 index data of counties and cities of Jilin Province in 2012 to construct and extract six principal components, which are population specific gravity factors. Social service factors, economic and environmental factors, infrastructure construction factors, education factors and industrial structure factors, finally get the score model of rural urbanization in Jilin Province, and use this model, SPSS19.0 software is used to rank the counties and cities in Jilin Province by factor analysis, and the corresponding analysis of the score results is made. The analysis shows that the counties and cities close to Changchun are the highest in the score ranking. The remote counties and cities such as Tumen City, which are far away from Changchun City, are at the bottom of the ranking. Finally, for countermeasures and suggestions, several suggestions on urbanization construction in Jilin Province are put forward.
【学位授予单位】:吉林财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F299.27

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