国内大型电商自建物流时机选择研究
发布时间：2018-11-12 13:36
【摘要】：与以往制造企业由自建物流转向外包的研究不同,本文以国内大型电商由外包转向自建物流模式为出发点,构建了部分自建物流最佳时机的实物期权模型,得出了最佳投资时机的解析解,并研究了关键参数与最佳投资临界值的变化关系,最后通过与净现值法下的结果进行比较证明了模型的合理性。研究表明:外包模式下市场不确定性与最佳投资时机呈正相关;在自建模式下,随着自建和外包利润大小关系的变化,自建比例和最佳投资时机的关系不同,而非以往研究中的单一负相关关系。
[Abstract]:Different from the previous research of manufacturing enterprises from self-built logistics to outsourcing, this paper sets up the real option model of the best time of partial self-built logistics based on the domestic large-scale e-commerce from outsourcing to self-building logistics model as the starting point. The analytical solution of the optimal investment opportunity is obtained, and the relationship between the key parameters and the critical value of the best investment is studied. Finally, the rationality of the model is proved by comparison with the results under the net present value method. The results show that the market uncertainty is positively correlated with the optimal investment opportunity under the outsourcing mode; Under the self-built model, with the change of profit relationship between self-construction and outsourcing, the relationship between self-built ratio and optimal investment opportunity is different, rather than the single negative correlation in previous studies.
【作者单位】： 西北工业大学人文与经法学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(70803040) 教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(15YJA630085);教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金项目(教外司留[2013]第693号) 陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2015JM7373) 陕西省社会科学基金项目(13D204) 西北工业大学本科毕业设计(论文)重点扶持项目(W002215)
【分类号】：F724.6;F252
本文编号：2327271
[Abstract]:Different from the previous research of manufacturing enterprises from self-built logistics to outsourcing, this paper sets up the real option model of the best time of partial self-built logistics based on the domestic large-scale e-commerce from outsourcing to self-building logistics model as the starting point. The analytical solution of the optimal investment opportunity is obtained, and the relationship between the key parameters and the critical value of the best investment is studied. Finally, the rationality of the model is proved by comparison with the results under the net present value method. The results show that the market uncertainty is positively correlated with the optimal investment opportunity under the outsourcing mode; Under the self-built model, with the change of profit relationship between self-construction and outsourcing, the relationship between self-built ratio and optimal investment opportunity is different, rather than the single negative correlation in previous studies.
【作者单位】： 西北工业大学人文与经法学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(70803040) 教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(15YJA630085);教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金项目(教外司留[2013]第693号) 陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2015JM7373) 陕西省社会科学基金项目(13D204) 西北工业大学本科毕业设计(论文)重点扶持项目(W002215)
【分类号】：F724.6;F252
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