从边际消费倾向看我国经济发展──基于中美两国对比角度的实证分析
发布时间：2018-11-22 06:31
【摘要】：本文通过选取中美两国的时间序列数据,运用误差修正模型间接计算边际消费倾向,研究MPC对经济发展的影响。分析结果显示,美国近二十多年的边际消费倾向远高于中国,且差距有继续扩大的趋势,并且美国总体保持了较高的消费水平,进而发现我国经济发展遇到的瓶颈跟消费能力不足有重要关系。本文还研究了影响经济发展的其他因素,并从制度、文化和行政管理层面提出了改革政策建议。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the influence of MPC on economic development is studied by selecting the time series data of China and the United States, and using the error correction model to calculate indirectly the marginal consumption tendency. The results show that the marginal propensity of consumption in the United States is much higher than that in China in the past two decades, and the gap has continued to widen, and the United States has maintained a relatively high level of consumption in general. Furthermore, it is found that the bottleneck of China's economic development is related to the insufficiency of consumption power. This paper also studies other factors affecting economic development, and puts forward reform policy suggestions from the aspects of system, culture and administration.
【作者单位】： 北京工商大学经济学院;
【基金】：北京市哲学社会科学首都流通业研究基地项目(JD-ZD-2015-001)
【分类号】：F224;F124
[Abstract]:In this paper, the influence of MPC on economic development is studied by selecting the time series data of China and the United States, and using the error correction model to calculate indirectly the marginal consumption tendency. The results show that the marginal propensity of consumption in the United States is much higher than that in China in the past two decades, and the gap has continued to widen, and the United States has maintained a relatively high level of consumption in general. Furthermore, it is found that the bottleneck of China's economic development is related to the insufficiency of consumption power. This paper also studies other factors affecting economic development, and puts forward reform policy suggestions from the aspects of system, culture and administration.
【作者单位】： 北京工商大学经济学院;
【基金】：北京市哲学社会科学首都流通业研究基地项目(JD-ZD-2015-001)
【分类号】：F224;F124
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