中国省际能源效率的实证研究

发布时间：2019-02-12 21:01

【摘要】：随着世界能源储备量的减少与我国能源需求量的增加,能源供需矛盾日趋加剧,提高能源效率已刻不容缓。目前,中国推行城镇化新型发展战略,打破城乡二元经济结构,释放农村巨大的消费需求潜力,探求内生经济增长模式,使我国经济稳步、快速、高效发展。在实现这个目标的过程中,生态文明建设不容小觑。十八大报告对“四位一体”的国家建设方略进行了重要补充,把生态文明建设与经济建设、政治建设、文化建设、社会建设整合为“五位一体”的发展方略,这体现了国家对生态文明建设的重视。现阶段我国正处于城镇化建设高速发展时期,解决城镇化过程中面临的能源问题,具有重要的理论和现实意义。文章在全要素能源效率框架下,首先利用数据包络分析方法(DEA)测算了我国30个省、市和自治区2005-2009年间的能源效率,并对能源效率的省际、区域特征和收敛趋势进行了具体分析；其次,以全要素能源效率为因变量,以城镇化水平、产业结构、能源消费结构和技术进步水平为自变量,利用Tobit回归模型探索各个因素对能源效率的影响机制,尤其关注了城镇化的影响；最后在实证分析结果的基础上,提出降低我国能源消耗的方向,以备实践参考。研究发现中国省际能源效率整体水平不高,各省能源效率水平差异较大；中国东北、东、中和西部的能源效率水平的差异较大；城镇化水平与能源效率水平具有显著的正相关关系。论文有以下两点创新：(1)研究了全国省际能源效率水平与城镇化水平之间的相互关系,发现两者呈现高度的正相关关系,且波动走势基本一致,这为国家实施城镇化建设提供了必要的理论基础。(2)用全要素能源效率作为因变量,在影响因素中考虑了城镇化的影响,分析得出城镇化对能源效率的作用机制。文章研究了省际能源效率水平,并探索了城镇化对能源效率的影响机制,研究得出的结论为国家实施城镇化战略提供了理论参考。
[Abstract]:With the decrease of world energy reserve and the increase of energy demand in China, the contradiction between energy supply and demand is becoming more and more serious, so it is urgent to improve energy efficiency. At present, China carries out a new development strategy of urbanization, breaks the dual economic structure of urban and rural areas, releases the huge consumption demand potential in rural areas, and explores the endogenous economic growth model, which makes our economy develop steadily, rapidly and efficiently. In the process of achieving this goal, the construction of ecological civilization should not be underestimated. The report of the 18th National Congress made an important supplement to the strategy of "four-in-one" national construction, integrating ecological civilization construction with economic construction, political construction, cultural construction, and social construction into a development strategy of "five in one." This reflects the country's attention to the construction of ecological civilization. At the present stage, China is in the period of rapid development of urbanization construction. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to solve the energy problems in the process of urbanization. Under the framework of all-factor energy efficiency, the energy efficiency of 30 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China from 2005 to 2009 is calculated by using the data envelopment analysis method (DEA), and the interprovincial energy efficiency is analyzed. The regional characteristics and convergence trend are analyzed in detail. Secondly, taking the total factor energy efficiency as the dependent variable, taking the urbanization level, the industrial structure, the energy consumption structure and the technological progress level as the independent variables, using the Tobit regression model to explore each factor to the energy efficiency influence mechanism. Pay special attention to the impact of urbanization; Finally, based on the results of empirical analysis, the direction of reducing energy consumption in China is put forward for practical reference. It is found that the overall level of energy efficiency among provinces in China is not high, the difference of energy efficiency between provinces is great, the difference of energy efficiency in Northeast, East, Middle and West of China is great. There is a significant positive correlation between urbanization level and energy efficiency level. This paper has the following two innovations: (1) the paper studies the relationship between the energy efficiency level and the urbanization level, and finds that there is a high positive correlation between the two levels, and the fluctuation trend is basically the same. This provides the necessary theoretical basis for the implementation of urbanization. (2) taking the total factor energy efficiency as dependent variable, the influence of urbanization is considered in the influencing factors, and the mechanism of urbanization on energy efficiency is analyzed. This paper studies the level of inter-provincial energy efficiency and explores the mechanism of the influence of urbanization on energy efficiency. The conclusion of the study provides a theoretical reference for the implementation of urbanization strategy.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F206

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